Forecast
Mulgrave (33.6261°S, 150.8299°E, 5m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW14° 29° Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:36am EDT 6:04am EDT 8:10pm EDT 8:38pm EDT NOW28.1° Feels Like: 22.1° Relative Humidity: 16% Dew: -0.1° Wind: W 20km/h Gust: 22km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1007.2hPa -
Today Weather
MulgraveNow28.1°cFeels Like:23.0°Wind:SW 17km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:17%14°Min29°MaxToday in MulgraveSunny. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h shifting E/SE in the early afternoon.Tomorrow14°Min29°MaxMostly sunny. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Mulgrave
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h shifting E/SE in the early afternoon.
Forecast for Mulgrave (33.6261°S, 150.8299°E, 5m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 14° 16° 18° 16° 13° 17° 18° Maximum 29° 33° 24° 25° 32° 36° 37° Chance of rain 10% 50% 50% 20% 40% 60% 70% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 6
(km/h)13
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)20
(km/h)9
(km/h)15
(km/h)7
(km/h)14
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)4
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction WSW SE NNE E S SSE SSW ESE NNE NE N N NNE ENE Relative humidity 53% 34% 71% 32% 78% 54% 71% 48% 70% 36% 73% 32% 73% 36% Dew point 11°C 11°C 16°C 13°C 18°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 15°C 14°C 19°C 16°C 20°C 19°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Mulgrave Rain Forecast
Mulgrave 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT16
17
18
MEDIUM19
MEDIUM20
LOW21
LOW22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
LOW25
26
LOW27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
30
LOW31
LOWFeb 1
LOW2
3
4
5
LOW6
LOW7
MEDIUM8
MEDIUM9
10
MEDIUM11
HIGH12
MEDIUM13
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan16Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and the southeast Pacific.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 January to 31 January, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 February to 5 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Mulgrave Rain Forecast
Mulgrave 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021986877856544105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Mulgrave Rain Forecast
Mulgrave 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT16
17
18
MEDIUM19
MEDIUM20
LOW21
LOW22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
LOW25
26
LOW27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
30
LOW31
LOWFeb 1
LOW2
3
4
5
LOW6
LOW7
MEDIUM8
MEDIUM9
10
MEDIUM11
HIGH12
MEDIUM13
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan16Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and the southeast Pacific.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 January to 31 January, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 February to 5 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Mulgrave Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Jan 1214.9 °C 33.8 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 1318.9 °C 31.3 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Jan 1418.8 °C 38.7 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Jan 1520.5 °C 33.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Jan 1614.2 °C 29.5 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Mulgrave minimum temp history (33.6261°S, 150.8299°E, 5m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 38.7° 14/01/2021 Coldest this month 13.1° 10/01/2021 Hottest on record 46.4 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 8.6 12/01/2012 Hottest this year 38.7° 14/01/2021 Coldest this year 13.1° 10/01/2021 Long term average 30.1° Long term average 17.7° Average this month 28.4° Average this month 16.7° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.1° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 15.1° 1997 Mulgrave rainfall history (33.6261°S, 150.8299°E, 5m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 12.4mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 27.0mm
10.0 daysLong Term Average 84.6mm 11.9 days Wettest January on record 266.4mm 2016 Driest on record 18.2mm 2009 -
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Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
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Year to Date
Mulgrave Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 84.6mm 11.9 day(s) Total For 2021 27.0mm 10.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 935.4mm 154.0 day(s) Wettest Day 12.4mm Jan 5 Lowest Temperature 13.1°C Jan10 Highest Temperature 38.7°C Jan14 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Mulgrave Climatology
Mulgrave Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.1 29.2 27.0 24.0 20.8 18.0 17.6 19.7 22.7 25.3 27.1 28.7 24.2 Mean Min (°C) 17.7 17.8 15.7 11.6 7.6 5.2 3.7 4.5 8.1 11.0 14.2 16.1 11.1 Mean Rain (mm) 84.6 116.3 82.3 59.5 46.2 56.8 30.7 35.7 48.3 49.6 80.4 68.5 761.8 Mean Rain Days 11.9 11.6 11.7 10.2 10.5 10.7 8.7 6.7 7.7 8.7 11.7 10.7 115.8