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Forecast

Mountain Creek (35.7034°S, 147.0574°E, 226m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 16°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:33am EST 7:00am EST 5:36pm EST 6:02pm EST
    NOW
    12.6° Feels Like: 10.6°
    Relative Humidity: 69%
    Dew: 7.1°
    Wind: N 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Mountain Creek
    Now
    12.5°c
    Feels Like:
    8.1°
    Wind:
    S 17km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    60%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Mountain Creek
    Sunny. Patchy morning frost or fog. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 2 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Patchy morning frost in the southeast. Medium chance of late showers in the southwest. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mountain Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Patchy morning frost or fog. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 2 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18.

    Forecast for Mountain Creek (35.7034°S, 147.0574°E, 226m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Sunny Frost then sunny Showers Showers Showers Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum -1°
    Maximum 16° 15° 14° 16° 17° 17° 17°
    Chance of rain 5% 80% 90% 90% 90% 90% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Moderate Severe Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE S E NE NE NE NE N E NNE ESE SW W WNW
    Relative humidity 82% 51% 91% 59% 99% 88% 100% 79% 100% 74% 100% 74% 99% 73%
    Dew point 6°C 5°C 4°C 6°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 9°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mountain Creek Rain Forecast


    Mountain Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    HIGH
    10
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 August to 22 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 31 August to 4 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 5 September to 9 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mountain Creek Rain Forecast


    Mountain Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    8
    8
    8
    7
    8
    7
    4
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mountain Creek Rain Forecast


    Mountain Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    HIGH
    10
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 August to 22 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 31 August to 4 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 5 September to 9 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

    Mountain Creek Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Mountain Creek

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mountain Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    1.2 °C 12.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    -2.2 °C 11.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    0.5 °C 10.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 08
    8.2 °C 14.5 °C
    25.8 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 09
    6.8 °C 15.4 °C
    1.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mountain Creek minimum temp history (35.7034°S, 147.0574°E, 226m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.5° 03/08/2020 Coldest this month -2.2° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 24.3 25/08/1995 Coldest on record -4.0 08/08/1994
    Hottest this year 46.1° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.2° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 15.0° Long term average 3.6°
    Average this month 13.0° Average this month 2.5°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.7° 2007 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 1.1° 1994
    Mountain Creek rainfall history (35.7034°S, 147.0574°E, 226m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 25.8mm 08/08/2020 Total This Month 27.6mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 68.9mm 14.0 days Wettest August on record 147.8mm 2003
    Driest on record 10.4mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Mountain Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 437.6mm 75.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 448.2mm 91.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 318.6mm 74.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 82.0mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature -2.2°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 46.1°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mountain Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.2 31.2 27.8 22.5 17.6 14.0 13.2 15.0 18.0 21.8 26.1 29.4 22.3
    Mean Min (°C) 16.5 16.3 12.9 8.4 5.5 3.8 3.2 3.6 5.7 8.0 11.7 13.9 9.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 43.4 49.0 40.8 44.1 52.6 67.9 70.9 68.9 63.2 51.6 64.3 42.5 659.1
    Mean Rain Days 6.0 5.2 5.0 5.9 9.4 13.7 16.1 14.0 10.8 7.9 8.0 6.5 104.0