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Forecast

Mount Rae (34.45°S, 149.7166°E, 954m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:26am EST 6:52am EST 5:22pm EST 5:48pm EST
    NOW
    6.6° Feels Like: -3.0°
    Relative Humidity: 72%
    Dew: 1.9°
    Wind: N 41km/h
    Gust: 56km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mount Rae
    Now
    5.9°c
    Feels Like:
    -4.7°
    Wind:
    W 44km/h
    Gusts:
    65km/h
    Humidity:
    66%
    Windy
     
    Min
    Max
    Today in Mount Rae
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the NW, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 900 metres. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 7 and 10.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    10°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the NW, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 14.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mount Rae

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the NW, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 900 metres. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 7 and 10.

    Forecast for Mount Rae (34.45°S, 149.7166°E, 954m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Windy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Fog then sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 10° 11° 11° 11° 12° 14°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 5% 10% 30% 30% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Low Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Slight Moderate Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 33
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W W W W W W W SSE ESE NE N NNW NW
    Relative humidity 81% 76% 83% 77% 84% 72% 83% 69% 85% 68% 87% 71% 77% 60%
    Dew point 2°C 3°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 4°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mount Rae Rain Forecast


    Mount Rae 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 2 September to 6 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 18 August to 22 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mount Rae Rain Forecast


    Mount Rae 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    10
    6
    4
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mount Rae Rain Forecast


    Mount Rae 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 2 September to 6 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 18 August to 22 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mount Rae Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jul 31
    2.0 °C 17.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 01
    7.0 °C 12.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 02
    -3.0 °C 12.0 °C
    3.5 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 03
    4.0 °C -
    10.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 04
    - -
    4.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mount Rae minimum temp history (34.45°S, 149.7166°E, 954m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 12.0° 01/08/2021 Coldest this month -3.0° 02/08/2021
    Hottest on record 22.4 30/08/1982 Coldest on record -7.3 06/08/1974
    Hottest this year 36.0° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -6.0° 22/07/2021
    Long term average 11.7° Long term average 1.2°
    Average this month 12.0° Average this month 2.0°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.7° 1995 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -0.4° 1994
    Mount Rae rainfall history (34.45°S, 149.7166°E, 954m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.0mm 03/08/2021 Total This Month 13.5mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 66.3mm 11.2 days Wettest August on record 274.8mm 1990
    Driest on record 0.5mm 1888
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mount Rae Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 539.9mm 81.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 694.2mm 86.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 717.2mm 88.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 48.0mm Mar21
    Lowest Temperature -6.0°C Jul22
    Highest Temperature 36.0°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mount Rae Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.3 24.9 22.5 18.8 14.5 11.3 10.4 11.7 15.1 18.5 21.5 24.4 18.3
    Mean Min (°C) 12.2 12.1 9.9 6.3 3.3 1.8 0.6 1.2 3.2 5.5 7.8 10.1 6.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 72.7 72.8 68.7 57.9 58.1 76.2 67.2 66.3 60.7 69.6 66.8 65.6 796.4
    Mean Rain Days 9.1 9.2 9.3 8.5 9.7 12.4 12.1 11.2 10.1 9.8 9.1 8.8 119.0