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Forecast

Mount Marsden (32.9387°S, 150.0476°E, 616m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:22am EST 6:48am EST 5:23pm EST 5:49pm EST
    NOW
    7.6° Feels Like: 5.4°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 6.9°
    Wind: NE 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Mount Marsden
    Now
    9.0°c
    Feels Like:
    4.7°
    Wind:
    N 17km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    77%
    Clearing shower
     
    Min
    Max
    Today in Mount Marsden
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Snow falling above 1000 metres in the evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW early in the morning then tending W 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 16.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    Min
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 900 metres. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 6 and 12.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Snow falling above 1000 metres in the evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW early in the morning then tending W 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 16.

    Forecast for Mount Marsden (32.9387°S, 150.0476°E, 616m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Clearing shower Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 10° 11° 10° 10°
    Chance of rain 50% 20% 20% 10% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil High Moderate Moderate High High Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW W W W WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW W WNW WNW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 98% 68% 81% 77% 87% 75% 87% 69% 86% 63% 88% 65% 90% 63%
    Dew point 7°C 2°C -1°C 1°C 3°C 2°C 3°C 3°C 3°C 3°C 4°C 3°C 5°C 3°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mount Marsden Rain Forecast


    Mount Marsden 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    HIGH
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and New Zealand.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 August to 12 August, 13 August to 17 August, and 18 August to 22 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mount Marsden Rain Forecast


    Mount Marsden 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    6
    10
    6
    4
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mount Marsden Rain Forecast


    Mount Marsden 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    HIGH
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and New Zealand.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 August to 12 August, 13 August to 17 August, and 18 August to 22 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

    Mount Marsden Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Mount Marsden

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mount Marsden Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jul 29
    1.3 °C 8.0 °C
    3.4 mm
    Friday
    Jul 30
    0.7 °C 11.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 31
    4.7 °C 15.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 01
    9.4 °C 16.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 02
    2.3 °C 11.6 °C
    0.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mount Marsden minimum temp history (32.9387°S, 150.0476°E, 616m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.0° 01/08/2021 Coldest this month 2.3° 02/08/2021
    Hottest on record 20.6 21/08/1995 Coldest on record -4.1 13/08/2005
    Hottest this year 30.7° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year -2.5° 06/07/2021
    Long term average 10.8° Long term average 2.9°
    Average this month 13.6° Average this month 5.8°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.8° 1995 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 0.9° 2008
    Mount Marsden rainfall history (32.9387°S, 150.0476°E, 616m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.8mm 02/08/2021 Total This Month 0.8mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 55.1mm 11.0 days Wettest August on record 161.4mm 1998
    Driest on record 1.4mm 1995
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mount Marsden Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 607.4mm 103.2 day(s)
    Total For 2021 603.2mm 103.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 778.2mm 105.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 73.2mm Mar23
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Jul 6
    Highest Temperature 30.7°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mount Marsden Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.5 22.9 20.2 16.9 12.9 9.7 9.2 10.8 14.3 17.5 20.2 22.7 16.7
    Mean Min (°C) 13.8 13.3 11.4 8.5 5.7 3.5 2.5 2.9 5.5 7.9 9.9 12.0 8.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 96.1 103.0 102.6 57.7 51.0 78.2 63.7 55.1 69.9 75.2 92.8 91.3 935.2
    Mean Rain Days 11.2 12.1 13.3 11.7 12.3 16.6 15.0 11.0 10.0 9.7 11.6 11.1 145.1