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Forecast

Mount Horeb (35.2103°S, 148.0335°E, 243m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 16°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:27am EST 6:53am EST 5:33pm EST 5:59pm EST
    NOW
    12.5° Feels Like: 9.8°
    Relative Humidity: 73%
    Dew: 7.8°
    Wind: S 11km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Mount Horeb
    Now
    12.4°c
    Feels Like:
    6.7°
    Wind:
    SE 26km/h
    Gusts:
    30km/h
    Humidity:
    71%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Mount Horeb
    Patchy morning frost or fog. Mostly sunny day. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming E/SE and light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Patchy morning frost. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 3 and zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Patchy morning frost or fog. Mostly sunny day. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming E/SE and light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.

    Forecast for Mount Horeb (35.2103°S, 148.0335°E, 243m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Sunny Fog then sunny Rain Possible shower Showers increasing Thunderstorms Possible shower
    Minimum -1°
    Maximum 16° 15° 15° 17° 17° 16° 15°
    Chance of rain 5% 70% 80% 60% 60% 90% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Moderate High Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SSW ENE NE NE NNE NNE NW ENE NNW E S W W
    Relative humidity 80% 58% 82% 62% 85% 84% 92% 75% 88% 74% 88% 80% 89% 77%
    Dew point 4°C 8°C 3°C 8°C 8°C 12°C 9°C 13°C 10°C 13°C 8°C 12°C 8°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mount Horeb Rain Forecast


    Mount Horeb 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 August to 22 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 31 August to 4 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 5 September to 9 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mount Horeb Rain Forecast


    Mount Horeb 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    8
    7
    8
    7
    10
    7
    5
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mount Horeb Rain Forecast


    Mount Horeb 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 August to 22 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 31 August to 4 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 5 September to 9 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

    Mount Horeb Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Mount Horeb

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mount Horeb Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    0.2 °C 11.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    -2.5 °C 11.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    2.0 °C 12.4 °C
    3.6 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 08
    9.5 °C 15.2 °C
    10.2 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 09
    8.2 °C -
    14.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mount Horeb minimum temp history (35.2103°S, 148.0335°E, 243m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 13.9° 01/08/2020 Coldest this month -2.5° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 25.9 25/08/1995 Coldest on record -4.8 02/08/1999
    Hottest this year 45.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.5° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 15.0° Long term average 3.1°
    Average this month 12.2° Average this month 2.0°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.1° 2011 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 1.7° 2006
    Mount Horeb rainfall history (35.2103°S, 148.0335°E, 243m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.0mm 09/08/2020 Total This Month 27.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 57.4mm 13.0 days Wettest August on record 108.5mm 2000
    Driest on record 14.6mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Mount Horeb Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 403.8mm 80.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 419.3mm 57.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 261.4mm 56.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 43.6mm Feb11
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 45.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mount Horeb Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.6 31.2 27.9 23.0 17.8 13.9 12.9 15.0 18.4 22.4 26.6 29.8 22.7
    Mean Min (°C) 16.6 16.7 13.4 8.6 4.9 3.5 2.7 3.1 5.4 8.0 12.0 14.0 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 40.5 51.0 49.3 31.9 42.2 65.6 65.9 57.4 61.6 52.0 68.1 58.6 644.7
    Mean Rain Days 6.0 6.1 6.0 5.5 8.7 16.2 18.6 13.0 10.6 8.7 7.8 7.1 107.1