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Forecast

Mount Darragh (36.8486°S, 149.5355°E, 720m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Fog then sunny -3° 14°
    fog then sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:24am EST 6:51am EST 5:26pm EST 5:53pm EST
    NOW
    -0.4° Feels Like: -3.9°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: -1.1°
    Wind: NW 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Mount Darragh
    Now
    8.1°c
    Feels Like:
    7.2°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Fog then sunny
     
    -3°
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Mount Darragh
    Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog or frost, mainly about the highlands. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 5 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE in the middle of the day then tending N/NW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog or frost, mainly about the highlands. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 5 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.

    Forecast for Mount Darragh (36.8486°S, 149.5355°E, 720m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Fog then sunny Showers Late shower Late shower Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Mostly sunny
    Minimum -3°
    Maximum 14° 13° 15° 14° 12° 12° 12°
    Chance of rain 40% 70% 50% 80% 80% 70% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Severe Moderate Moderate Moderate Slight Slight Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW NE NNW N NW NW NW ENE W WSW WNW WSW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 86% 51% 88% 70% 93% 63% 94% 70% 100% 80% 93% 68% 90% 62%
    Dew point -0°C 3°C 3°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 8°C 6°C 5°C 4°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mount Darragh Rain Forecast


    Mount Darragh 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug10

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 26 August to 30 August, and 8 September to 12 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 August to 27 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 13 September to 17 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mount Darragh Rain Forecast


    Mount Darragh 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    10
    6
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mount Darragh Rain Forecast


    Mount Darragh 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug10

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 26 August to 30 August, and 8 September to 12 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 August to 27 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 13 September to 17 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mount Darragh Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    0.1 °C 8.6 °C
    15.6 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    -1.1 °C 8.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 08
    2.7 °C 10.0 °C
    4.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 09
    6.3 °C 10.0 °C
    7.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 10
    5.3 °C -
    2.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mount Darragh minimum temp history (36.8486°S, 149.5355°E, 720m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 15.9° 02/08/2020 Coldest this month -3.5° 02/08/2020
    Hottest on record 24.5 28/08/2005 Coldest on record -8.0 02/08/2003
    Hottest this year 41.5° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -6.0° 05/06/2020
    Long term average 13.0° Long term average -0.1°
    Average this month 11.0° Average this month 0.4°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 15.8° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -2.8° 1971
    Mount Darragh rainfall history (36.8486°S, 149.5355°E, 720m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.6mm 06/08/2020 Total This Month 29.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 39.3mm 9.8 days Wettest August on record 156.8mm 1939
    Driest on record 1.8mm 1910
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Mount Darragh Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 405.1mm 69.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 438.0mm 80.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 315.8mm 72.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 58.0mm Jul13
    Lowest Temperature -6.0°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 41.5°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mount Darragh Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.6 25.1 22.6 18.8 15.1 11.9 11.4 13.0 15.8 18.8 21.2 23.7 18.5
    Mean Min (°C) 10.8 10.7 8.8 5.3 2.0 -0.1 -1.2 -0.1 2.3 4.7 7.1 9.0 4.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 60.4 56.7 59.3 44.9 41.6 57.9 45.0 39.3 43.5 54.1 63.6 62.2 628.2
    Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.5 8.1 8.0 8.9 10.1 9.2 9.8 10.0 10.0 9.5 8.7 106.5