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Forecast

Mount Burrell (28.5015°S, 153.1917°E, 122m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 12° 21°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:57am EST 6:21am EST 5:22pm EST 5:47pm EST
    NOW
    13.0° Feels Like: 8.3°
    Relative Humidity: 60%
    Dew: 5.4°
    Wind: SW 19km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mount Burrell
    Now
    14.3°c
    Feels Like:
    6.1°
    Wind:
    SW 37km/h
    Gusts:
    46km/h
    Humidity:
    56%
    Mostly sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Mount Burrell
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the morning. Winds S/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    10°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe. Light winds becoming N 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the morning. Winds S/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 21.

    Forecast for Mount Burrell (28.5015°S, 153.1917°E, 122m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 10° 13° 13° 15° 11° 10°
    Maximum 21° 22° 25° 24° 24° 23° 22°
    Chance of rain 5% 20% 5% 40% 90% 5% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SSW N NNE NNW N N NNE NNW N W WSW WSW NNE
    Relative humidity 68% 63% 72% 55% 71% 50% 68% 59% 77% 69% 68% 45% 53% 44%
    Dew point 12°C 13°C 12°C 13°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 11°C 11°C 8°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mount Burrell Rain Forecast


    Mount Burrell 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug10

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 26 August to 30 August, and 8 September to 12 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 August to 27 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 13 September to 17 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mount Burrell Rain Forecast


    Mount Burrell 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    7
    5
    8
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mount Burrell Rain Forecast


    Mount Burrell 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug10

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 26 August to 30 August, and 8 September to 12 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 August to 27 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 13 September to 17 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 August to 19 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 24 August to 28 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mount Burrell Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    5.1 °C 24.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    11.3 °C 19.7 °C
    7.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 08
    13.3 °C 23.7 °C
    13.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 09
    7.8 °C 19.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 10
    10.1 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mount Burrell minimum temp history (28.5015°S, 153.1917°E, 122m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.8° 05/08/2020 Coldest this month 5.1° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 35.9 24/08/2009 Coldest on record -1.4 15/08/2008
    Hottest this year 34.9° 03/02/2020 Coldest this year 2.2° 05/07/2020
    Long term average 22.4° Long term average 8.8°
    Average this month 23.2° Average this month 9.0°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.5° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 5.7° 2008
    Mount Burrell rainfall history (28.5015°S, 153.1917°E, 122m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.0mm 08/08/2020 Total This Month 20.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 55.4mm 7.8 days Wettest August on record 255.0mm 1987
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2012
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Mount Burrell Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 1166.2mm 102.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1427.4mm 84.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 548.7mm 70.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 191.0mm Feb13
    Lowest Temperature 2.2°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 34.9°C Feb 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mount Burrell Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 29.0 28.1 26.1 23.5 21.2 21.0 22.4 25.0 26.5 27.7 29.1 25.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 19.6 18.3 15.6 12.6 9.9 8.5 8.8 11.5 14.1 16.7 18.5 14.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 211.4 220.6 224.5 154.4 132.6 105.5 61.8 55.4 41.4 104.1 124.7 168.9 1611.2
    Mean Rain Days 15.0 15.9 17.0 14.2 12.6 11.0 8.7 7.8 8.0 10.4 12.8 13.6 143.0