Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 07:56 AM EDT on Wednesday 27 January 2021
for the period until midnight EDT Thursday 28 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 27 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Enclosed Waters, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast, Batemans Coast and Eden Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Coffs Coast and Macquarie Coast
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Enclosed Waters, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast and Illawarra Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EDT Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Motto Farm (32.7833°S, 151.7167°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY23° 27° possible shower Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:44am EDT 6:11am EDT 8:00pm EDT 8:27pm EDT NOW23.9° Feels Like: 23.4° Relative Humidity: 87% Dew: 21.6° Wind: SW 26km/h Gust: 30km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1009.8hPa -
Today Weather
Motto FarmNow22.1°cFeels Like: Wind:SW 48km/hGusts:59km/hHumidity: 23°Min27°MaxToday in Motto FarmCloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 24 to 31.Tomorrow21°Min25°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 24 to 31.
Forecast for Motto Farm (32.7833°S, 151.7167°E, 1m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 23° 21° 21° 20° 19° 19° 19° Maximum 27° 25° 26° 29° 29° 30° 30° Chance of rain 80% 80% 70% 40% 30% 50% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 20-40mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 30
(km/h)34
(km/h)29
(km/h)29
(km/h)23
(km/h)26
(km/h)20
(km/h)22
(km/h)12
(km/h)22
(km/h)16
(km/h)25
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction SW SSW SSE SSE ESE E ENE ENE NE ESE ENE E NNE N Relative humidity 87% 80% 90% 88% 87% 82% 79% 67% 78% 67% 73% 62% 73% 63% Dew point 22°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 19°C 20°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Motto Farm Rain Forecast
Motto Farm 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
HIGH28
HIGH29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
LOW2
HIGH3
HIGH4
LOW5
6
LOW7
HIGH8
LOW9
LOW10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
13
14
15
16
17
LOW18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Motto Farm Rain Forecast
Motto Farm 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021987886956475105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Motto Farm Rain Forecast
Motto Farm 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
HIGH28
HIGH29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
LOW2
HIGH3
HIGH4
LOW5
6
LOW7
HIGH8
LOW9
LOW10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
13
14
15
16
17
LOW18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Motto Farm Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Jan 2319.3 °C 34.0 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2416.9 °C 36.2 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2516.8 °C 35.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2620.3 °C 38.4 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2722.9 °C 25.2 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Motto Farm minimum temp history (32.7833°S, 151.7167°E, 1m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 38.4° 26/01/2021 Coldest this month 11.4° 21/01/2021 Hottest on record 44.8 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 9.4 08/01/1965 Hottest this year 38.4° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 11.4° 21/01/2021 Long term average 28.3° Long term average 18.2° Average this month 28.6° Average this month 17.2° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.5° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 16.1° 1953 Motto Farm rainfall history (32.7833°S, 151.7167°E, 1m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 41.6mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 94.4mm
10.0 daysLong Term Average 96.9mm 11.6 days Wettest January on record 422.4mm 2016 Driest on record 2.2mm 1985 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
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Year to Date
Motto Farm Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 96.9mm 11.6 day(s) Total For 2021 94.4mm 10.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 67.2mm 12.0 day(s) Wettest Day 41.6mm Jan 5 Lowest Temperature 11.4°C Jan21 Highest Temperature 38.4°C Jan26 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Motto Farm Climatology
Motto Farm Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.3 27.7 26.4 23.8 20.4 17.7 17.2 18.8 21.5 23.8 25.6 27.4 23.2 Mean Min (°C) 18.2 18.1 16.4 13.2 10.1 8.0 6.4 6.8 9.1 12.0 14.4 16.6 12.4 Mean Rain (mm) 96.9 109.0 120.0 106.7 109.7 132.6 69.9 65.4 62.0 78.5 80.5 79.3 1116.6 Mean Rain Days 11.6 11.9 13.1 12.1 13.5 13.9 10.5 10.0 9.7 11.6 11.4 10.9 139.6