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Forecast

Motto Farm (32.7833°S, 151.7167°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 23° 27°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:44am EDT 6:11am EDT 8:00pm EDT 8:27pm EDT
    NOW
    23.9° Feels Like: 23.4°
    Relative Humidity: 87%
    Dew: 21.6°
    Wind: SW 26km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.8hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Motto Farm
    Now
    22.1°c
    Feels Like:
     
    Wind:
    SW 48km/h
    Gusts:
    59km/h
    Humidity:
     
    Possible shower
     
    23°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Motto Farm
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 24 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    21°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 24 to 31.

    Forecast for Motto Farm (32.7833°S, 151.7167°E, 1m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible shower Showers Possible shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 23° 21° 21° 20° 19° 19° 19°
    Maximum 27° 25° 26° 29° 29° 30° 30°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 70% 40% 30% 50% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 20-40mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 30
    (km/h)     		34
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SSW SSE SSE ESE E ENE ENE NE ESE ENE E NNE N
    Relative humidity 87% 80% 90% 88% 87% 82% 79% 67% 78% 67% 73% 62% 73% 63%
    Dew point 22°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 19°C 20°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Motto Farm Rain Forecast

    Motto Farm 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Motto Farm Rain Forecast

    Motto Farm 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    9
    8
    7
    8
    8
    6
    9
    5
    6
    4
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Motto Farm Rain Forecast

    Motto Farm 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Motto Farm Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 23     		19.3 °C 34.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 24     		16.9 °C 36.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25     		16.8 °C 35.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26     		20.3 °C 38.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27     		22.9 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Motto Farm minimum temp history (32.7833°S, 151.7167°E, 1m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.4° 26/01/2021 Coldest this month 11.4° 21/01/2021
    Hottest on record 44.8 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 9.4 08/01/1965
    Hottest this year 38.4° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 11.4° 21/01/2021
    Long term average 28.3° Long term average 18.2°
    Average this month 28.6° Average this month 17.2°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.5° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 16.1° 1953
    Motto Farm rainfall history (32.7833°S, 151.7167°E, 1m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 41.6mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 94.4mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 96.9mm 11.6 days Wettest January on record 422.4mm 2016
    Driest on record 2.2mm 1985

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Motto Farm Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 96.9mm 11.6 day(s)
    Total For 2021 94.4mm 10.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 67.2mm 12.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 41.6mm Jan 5
    Lowest Temperature 11.4°C Jan21
    Highest Temperature 38.4°C Jan26

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Motto Farm Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.3 27.7 26.4 23.8 20.4 17.7 17.2 18.8 21.5 23.8 25.6 27.4 23.2
    Mean Min (°C) 18.2 18.1 16.4 13.2 10.1 8.0 6.4 6.8 9.1 12.0 14.4 16.6 12.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 96.9 109.0 120.0 106.7 109.7 132.6 69.9 65.4 62.0 78.5 80.5 79.3 1116.6
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 11.9 13.1 12.1 13.5 13.9 10.5 10.0 9.7 11.6 11.4 10.9 139.6

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