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Forecast

Mossy Point (35.8374°S, 150.1759°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 18°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:24am EST 6:51am EST 5:00pm EST 5:28pm EST
    NOW
    8.6° Feels Like: 6.5°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 7.4°
    Wind: W 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1027.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mossy Point
    Now
    13.3°c
    Feels Like:
    11.3°
    Wind:
    SW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Mossy Point
    Sunny. Morning frost in the S. The chance of morning fog near the Victorian border. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Morning frost in the S. The chance of morning fog near the Victorian border. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18.

    Forecast for Mossy Point (35.8374°S, 150.1759°E, 1m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Fog then sunny Mostly sunny Fog then sunny Late shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 18° 19° 18° 19° 19° 21° 21°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W ESE WNW ENE SW SSE WNW ENE WNW E NNW NE NNE NNE
    Relative humidity 72% 59% 69% 51% 74% 58% 79% 63% 78% 64% 81% 68% 79% 64%
    Dew point 6°C 9°C 6°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 11°C 13°C 12°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mossy Point Rain Forecast


    Mossy Point 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 May to 27 May, 2 June to 6 June, and 15 June to 19 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 May to 29 May, and 30 May to 3 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 May to 29 May, 30 May to 3 June, and 21 June to 25 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mossy Point Rain Forecast


    Mossy Point 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2021
    2022
    9
    6
    8
    7
    6
    6
    6
    6
    3
    9
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 10

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. La Niña has officially ended, with neutral conditions expected until at least the end of winter, therefore having no effect on our climate here in Australia. While La Niña has returned to neutral, the oceans around northern Australia are warmer than normal. This may enhance rainfall during the next month or so, before the oceans return to normal conditions. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is expected to continue to be neutral at least until early winter. The confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southwestern WA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The warmer than normal oceans may be playing a role in this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across Australia's snowfields. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from far southwestern WA, parts of southeastern QLD and NSW, southern VIC and much of TAS. The warmer than normal oceans may be playing a role in this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across Australia's snowfields.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mossy Point Rain Forecast


    Mossy Point 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 May to 27 May, 2 June to 6 June, and 15 June to 19 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 May to 29 May, and 30 May to 3 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 May to 29 May, 30 May to 3 June, and 21 June to 25 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mossy Point Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    May 14
    7.2 °C 20.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 15
    7.3 °C 18.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    May 16
    4.3 °C 16.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    May 17
    7.3 °C 18.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    May 18
    3.8 °C 16.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mossy Point minimum temp history (35.8374°S, 150.1759°E, 1m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.2° 10/05/2021 Coldest this month 3.8° 18/05/2021
    Hottest on record 28.3 01/05/2016 Coldest on record -2.0 20/05/2001
    Hottest this year 35.6° 01/03/2021 Coldest this year 3.8° 18/05/2021
    Long term average 19.9° Long term average 7.2°
    Average this month 20.1° Average this month 10.4°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.8° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 5.5° 2004
    Mossy Point rainfall history (35.8374°S, 150.1759°E, 1m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 67.8mm 06/05/2021 Total This Month 156.0mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 35.0mm 7.5 days Wettest May on record 121.0mm 2003
    Driest on record 9.0mm 2020
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mossy Point Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 349.0mm 53.8 day(s)
    Total For 2021 613.8mm 56.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 385.8mm 56.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 67.8mm May 6
    Lowest Temperature 3.8°C May18
    Highest Temperature 35.6°C Mar 1
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mossy Point Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.5 24.7 24.0 22.1 19.9 17.5 17.2 18.1 20.3 21.6 22.6 24.0 21.4
    Mean Min (°C) 15.9 16.2 14.2 11.2 7.2 5.6 4.0 4.3 6.8 9.6 12.2 14.3 10.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 66.1 107.4 89.3 51.2 35.0 79.8 55.7 58.2 38.2 74.9 84.3 77.1 806.2
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 12.3 12.8 9.6 7.5 10.0 8.0 6.6 9.6 10.9 12.0 12.8 121.8