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Forecast

Moonbria (35.1251°S, 145.4818°E, 103m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 14°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:47am EST 7:14am EST 5:39pm EST 6:06pm EST
    NOW
    13.3° Feels Like: 6.0°
    Relative Humidity: 63%
    Dew: 6.4°
    Wind: W 33km/h
    Gust: 37km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Moonbria
    Now
    13.3°c
    Feels Like:
    8.6°
    Wind:
    W 24km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Moonbria
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the SE, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 15.

    Forecast for Moonbria (35.1251°S, 145.4818°E, 103m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Cloudy Cloudy Mostly sunny Cloudy Sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 14° 15° 15° 15° 15° 16° 19°
    Chance of rain 40% 30% 20% 10% 20% 20% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW W WSW W WSW W WSW SSE ESE NE NNE NNE N
    Relative humidity 100% 79% 90% 66% 86% 61% 86% 59% 89% 56% 83% 57% 79% 44%
    Dew point 8°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 6°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Moonbria Rain Forecast


    Moonbria 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 2 September to 6 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 18 August to 22 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Moonbria Rain Forecast


    Moonbria 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    6
    8
    8
    9
    6
    6
    8
    7
    4
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Moonbria Rain Forecast


    Moonbria 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 2 September to 6 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 18 August to 22 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Moonbria Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jul 31
    7.5 °C 21.4 °C
    0.4 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 01
    7.0 °C 14.8 °C
    4.6 mm
    Monday
    Aug 02
    1.8 °C 15.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 03
    6.5 °C 12.6 °C
    2.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 04
    4.5 °C 14.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Moonbria minimum temp history (35.1251°S, 145.4818°E, 103m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 15.3° 02/08/2021 Coldest this month 1.8° 02/08/2021
    Hottest on record 27.6 30/08/2007 Coldest on record -5.0 03/08/1997
    Hottest this year 41.8° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year -2.4° 30/05/2021
    Long term average 16.1° Long term average 4.0°
    Average this month 14.2° Average this month 5.0°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.3° 2007 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 2.0° 2014
    Moonbria rainfall history (35.1251°S, 145.4818°E, 103m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.6mm 01/08/2021 Total This Month 7.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 33.4mm 11.3 days Wettest August on record 66.2mm 2010
    Driest on record 1.6mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Moonbria Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 224.1mm 65.9 day(s)
    Total For 2021 206.0mm 65.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 289.2mm 74.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 25.0mm Mar21
    Lowest Temperature -2.4°C May30
    Highest Temperature 41.8°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Moonbria Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.4 32.1 28.6 23.6 18.5 15.0 14.4 16.1 19.9 23.9 28.2 30.7 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 16.7 16.2 13.5 9.5 6.1 4.1 3.4 4.0 6.0 8.5 12.1 14.3 9.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 23.8 28.6 27.1 25.9 27.1 29.9 28.3 33.4 32.9 32.6 42.0 28.6 361.0
    Mean Rain Days 4.5 4.7 4.5 5.3 8.2 13.0 14.4 11.3 8.6 6.6 6.6 5.6 94.0