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Forecast

Montecollum (28.5891°S, 153.4644°E, 131m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 22° 28°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:46am EDT 6:12am EDT 7:44pm EDT 8:10pm EDT
    NOW
    23.0° Feels Like: 26.9°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: 20.3°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1008.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Montecollum
    Now
    20.8°c
    Feels Like:
    23.0°
    Wind:
    N 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Mostly sunny
     
    22°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Montecollum
    Sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, most likely during this afternoon or evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    23°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Montecollum

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, most likely during this afternoon or evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.

    Forecast for Montecollum (28.5891°S, 153.4644°E, 131m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 22° 23° 22° 22° 22° 22° 21°
    Maximum 28° 27° 27° 27° 27° 27° 27°
    Chance of rain 70% 70% 70% 80% 60% 80% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE ESE SE ESE ESE ESE E E ESE SE SE E E
    Relative humidity 81% 74% 78% 72% 77% 72% 79% 77% 74% 66% 70% 72% 74% 69%
    Dew point 22°C 23°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 23°C 20°C 20°C 19°C 21°C 19°C 21°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Montecollum Rain Forecast


    Montecollum 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    HIGH
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 26 February to 2 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Montecollum Rain Forecast


    Montecollum 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    8
    7
    7
    8
    8
    7
    8
    6
    6
    7
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Montecollum Rain Forecast


    Montecollum 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    HIGH
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 26 February to 2 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Montecollum Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jan 22
    19.4 °C 28.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 23
    20.2 °C 30.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    21.7 °C 30.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25
    22.0 °C 29.8 °C
    1.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    20.4 °C 31.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Montecollum minimum temp history (28.5891°S, 153.4644°E, 131m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.5° 26/01/2021 Coldest this month 18.6° 21/01/2021
    Hottest on record 34.0 11/01/2012 Coldest on record 16.5 10/01/2005
    Hottest this year 31.5° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 18.6° 21/01/2021
    Long term average 28.0° Long term average 21.3°
    Average this month 28.5° Average this month 21.2°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.0° 2015 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 20.2° 2016
    Montecollum rainfall history (28.5891°S, 153.4644°E, 131m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 31.0mm 19/01/2021 Total This Month 84.8mm
    18.0 days
    Long Term Average 151.5mm 14.4 days Wettest January on record 443.6mm 2006
    Driest on record 3.0mm 2019
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Montecollum Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 151.5mm 14.4 day(s)
    Total For 2021 84.8mm 18.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 194.2mm 15.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 31.0mm Jan19
    Lowest Temperature 18.6°C Jan21
    Highest Temperature 31.5°C Jan26
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Montecollum Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.0 27.5 26.6 24.1 21.4 19.3 18.9 20.1 22.1 23.7 25.4 26.7 23.6
    Mean Min (°C) 21.3 21.1 20.2 17.8 15.1 13.2 12.3 13.1 15.3 17.0 18.6 20.0 17.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 151.5 190.3 152.9 169.2 99.1 171.1 82.8 70.4 48.5 87.0 92.6 139.2 1435.1
    Mean Rain Days 14.4 15.3 17.1 15.2 13.3 14.2 11.2 7.7 9.1 12.2 11.6 14.4 154.4