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Forecast

Mongogarie (28.9478°S, 152.9019°E, 105m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 10° 25°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:01am EST 6:26am EST 5:21pm EST 5:46pm EST
    NOW
    22.7° Feels Like: 18.0°
    Relative Humidity: 33%
    Dew: 5.6°
    Wind: W 19km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1010.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mongogarie
    Now
    21.9°c
    Feels Like:
    17.2°
    Wind:
    W 24km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    46%
    Mostly sunny
     
    10°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Mongogarie
    Slight chance of a shower this morning. Patchy morning fog. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mongogarie

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Slight chance of a shower this morning. Patchy morning fog. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Mongogarie (28.9478°S, 152.9019°E, 105m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Fog then sunny Fog then sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10° 10° 11° 11°
    Maximum 25° 20° 20° 21° 24° 27° 27°
    Chance of rain 20% 5% 20% 20% 10% 5% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW NW W W W SW SSW SSE NW NNE NNW NNW NNW NE
    Relative humidity 82% 34% 60% 35% 61% 42% 69% 54% 79% 45% 74% 38% 70% 40%
    Dew point 14°C 7°C 6°C 2°C 6°C 6°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 10°C 14°C 11°C 14°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mongogarie Rain Forecast


    Mongogarie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 August to 31 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 August to 26 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 5 September to 9 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mongogarie Rain Forecast


    Mongogarie 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    7
    5
    8
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mongogarie Rain Forecast


    Mongogarie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 August to 31 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 August to 26 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 5 September to 9 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mongogarie Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    7.9 °C 25.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    7.0 °C 26.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    2.5 °C 22.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    7.8 °C 16.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 08
    11.5 °C 24.6 °C
    4.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mongogarie minimum temp history (28.9478°S, 152.9019°E, 105m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.1° 05/08/2020 Coldest this month 2.5° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 36.3 24/08/2009 Coldest on record -3.5 08/08/1995
    Hottest this year 39.8° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 1.4° 05/07/2020
    Long term average 22.4° Long term average 7.2°
    Average this month 21.9° Average this month 6.8°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.2° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 4.9° 2008
    Mongogarie rainfall history (28.9478°S, 152.9019°E, 105m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.0mm 08/08/2020 Total This Month 4.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 51.4mm 7.5 days Wettest August on record 196.4mm 2014
    Driest on record 0.8mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Mongogarie Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 765.1mm 90.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 610.8mm 77.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 525.0mm 83.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 89.0mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 1.4°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 39.8°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mongogarie Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.3 25.9 23.1 20.6 20.6 22.4 25.6 27.6 28.8 29.9 26.1
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 18.9 17.6 14.2 10.6 8.4 6.6 7.2 10.5 13.3 16.1 17.9 13.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 144.5 148.3 143.1 76.4 96.4 72.4 32.6 51.4 34.6 63.5 112.9 118.6 1099.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.4 12.2 14.1 11.8 11.4 12.6 8.9 7.5 7.2 8.0 11.6 12.0 126.7