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Forecast

Minimbah (32.1483°S, 152.3614°E, 30m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 11° 18°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:16am EST 6:42am EST 5:11pm EST 5:37pm EST
    NOW
    22.1° Feels Like: 18.4°
    Relative Humidity: 36%
    Dew: 6.3°
    Wind: NW 15km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1006.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Minimbah
    Now
    20.5°c
    Feels Like:
    16.4°
    Wind:
    W 17km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    40%
    Sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Minimbah
    Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. Mostly sunny day. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/SW before dawn then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    11°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Sunny. Areas of morning frost about higher ground. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then tending N/NW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Minimbah

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. Mostly sunny day. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/SW before dawn then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 21.

    Forecast for Minimbah (32.1483°S, 152.3614°E, 30m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 12° 12° 10°
    Maximum 18° 19° 23° 27° 21° 21° 18°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 70% 80% 30% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 25
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW WNW ENE N NE NNW W NW NE W WSW WNW WSW
    Relative humidity 59% 41% 59% 49% 57% 55% 61% 58% 83% 80% 63% 51% 59% 45%
    Dew point 5°C 5°C 3°C 8°C 5°C 14°C 14°C 17°C 12°C 17°C 7°C 11°C 4°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Minimbah Rain Forecast


    Minimbah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 26 August to 30 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 August to 21 August, and 28 August to 1 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 August to 7 August, 8 August to 12 August, and 15 August to 19 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Minimbah Rain Forecast


    Minimbah 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    8
    7
    7
    8
    6
    7
    6
    10
    6
    7
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Minimbah Rain Forecast


    Minimbah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 26 August to 30 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 August to 21 August, and 28 August to 1 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 August to 7 August, 8 August to 12 August, and 15 August to 19 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Minimbah Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jul 23
    - -
    -
    Saturday
    Jul 24
    - -
    -
    Sunday
    Jul 25
    - -
    -
    Monday
    Jul 26
    - -
    -
    Tuesday
    Jul 27
    - -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Minimbah minimum temp history (32.1483°S, 152.3614°E, 30m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month - Coldest this month -
    Hottest on record 25.5 22/07/2016 Coldest on record 2.5 12/07/2008
    Hottest this year 35.2° 21/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.0° 27/01/2020
    Long term average 18.4° Long term average 8.8°
    Average this month - Average this month -
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.4° 2016 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 6.9° 2008
    Minimbah rainfall history (32.1483°S, 152.3614°E, 30m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 82.4mm 8.3 days Wettest July on record 303.4mm 1922
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1970
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Minimbah Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 1067.8mm 89.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 134.7mm 23.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 624.7mm 103.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.0mm Mar17
    Lowest Temperature 15.0°C Jan27
    Highest Temperature 35.2°C Jan21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Minimbah Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 26.5 25.7 23.9 21.3 18.9 18.4 19.5 21.7 22.8 23.9 25.5 22.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.5 19.5 18.0 15.3 12.1 10.0 8.8 9.2 11.8 13.9 16.4 18.1 14.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 109.0 120.2 150.4 126.0 113.8 121.3 84.8 70.6 66.2 77.8 83.8 92.7 1221.7
    Mean Rain Days 8.4 8.8 10.2 9.2 8.9 9.0 8.0 7.3 7.2 8.3 8.7 8.1 102.2