Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales
Minor To Moderate Flood Warning For The Barwon River
Issued at 02:04 PM EST on Thursday 18 April 2024
Flood Warning Number: 9
MODERATE FLOODING OCCURRING AT MUNGINDI
MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT MOGIL MOGIL FROM SATURDAY
Moderate flooding is occurring along the Barwon River at Mungindi as floodwaters arrive from the Weir River (QLD) and Macintyre River.
Upstream along the Weir River, a second and higher peak passed Talwood on Sunday 14 April. This peak, combined with floodwaters from the Macintyre River, may cause prolonged moderate flooding at Mungindi.
Further downstream, minor flooding is possible at Mogil Mogil around Saturday.
A minor flood warning is current for the Weir River (QLD).
Barwon River Mungindi to Collarenebri:
Moderate flooding is occurring along the Barwon River Mungindi to Collarenebri.
The Barwon River at Mungindi is currently at 6.86 metres and rising slowly, above the moderate flood level (6.70 m).
The Barwon River at Mungindi may peak near 7.00 metres over the weekend, with moderate flooding.
The Barwon River at Mogil Mogil is currently at 6.92 metres and rising, below the minor flood level (7.50 m).
The Barwon River at Mogil Mogil may reach the minor flood level during Saturday.
Flood Safety Advice:
In life threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately. If you require rescue, assistance to evacuate or other emergency help, ring NSW SES on 132 500.
* Avoid drowning. Stay out of rising water, seek refuge in the highest available place.
* Prevent damage to your vehicle. Move it under cover, away from areas likely to flood.
* Avoid being swept away. Stay out of fast-flowing creeks and storm drains.
* Never drive, ride or walk through flood water. Flood water can be deceptive and dangerous.}
For more emergency information, advice, and access to the latest river heights and rainfall observations and forecasts:
* NSW SES: www.ses.nsw.gov.au
* RMS Live Traffic: www.livetraffic.com
* Latest River Heights and Rainfall Observations: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood/outerwest.shtml
* Latest NSW Warnings: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/
* Rainfall Forecasts: www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/
* BOM NSW Twitter: www.twitter.com/BOM_NSW
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 03:00 pm EST on Friday 19 April 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Barwon River at Mungindi,6.86,Rising,01:45 PM THU 18/04/24
Barwon River at Mogil Mogil,6.93,Rising,02:00 PM THU 18/04/24
Barwon River at Collarenebri,3.59,Steady,01:00 PM THU 18/04/24
Barwon River at Walgett,5.75,Steady,01:45 PM THU 18/04/24
Barwon River at Brewarrina,2.30,Steady,02:00 PM THU 18/04/24
Darling River at Bourke,4.31,Steady,02:00 PM THU 18/04/24
Darling River at Louth,1.48,Steady,12:45 PM THU 18/04/24
Darling River at Tilpa,1.00,Steady,12:45 PM THU 18/04/24
Darling River at Wilcannia,0.80,Steady,01:00 PM THU 18/04/24
Darling River at Menindee Town,3.35,Steady,01:45 PM THU 18/04/24
Darling River at Menindee Weir 32,1.45,Steady,01:00 PM THU 18/04/24
Darling River at Pooncarie,2.00,Steady,01:00 PM THU 18/04/24
Darling River at Burtundy,0.85,Steady,01:00 PM THU 18/04/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts.
Forecast
Milguy (29.35°S, 150.2°E, 279m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY16° 26° possible thunderstorm Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:57am EST 6:21am EST 5:38pm EST 6:02pm EST NOW20.1° Feels Like: 18.0° Relative Humidity: 75% Dew: 15.5° Wind: SE 20km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1016.0hPa -
Today Weather
MilguyNow20.5°cFeels Like:21.6°Wind:N 9km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:87%16°Min26°MaxToday in MilguyPartly cloudy. High chance of showers in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning, possibly severe. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 27.Tomorrow12°Min25°MaxMostly sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 25. -
Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning, possibly severe. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 27.
Forecast for Milguy (29.35°S, 150.2°E, 279m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 16° 12° 11° 14° 13° 13° 14° Maximum 26° 25° 22° 26° 27° 27° 27° Chance of rain 90% 20% 50% 10% 5% 10% 40% Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index High High Moderate High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 20
(km/h)35
(km/h)17
(km/h)20
(km/h)17
(km/h)18
(km/h)26
(km/h)27
(km/h)25
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)14
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction NNE SW SSW SW SE SSE SSE SE SE SE ESE SE ENE SW Relative humidity 73% 73% 53% 24% 62% 41% 60% 38% 54% 34% 58% 35% 62% 42% Dew point 16°C 15°C 9°C 2°C 9°C 7°C 12°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 14°C 12°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Milguy Rain Forecast
Milguy 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420251077765677555105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Milguy Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 1415.2 °C 29.2 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 1516.7 °C 29.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 1617.6 °C 30.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 1716.3 °C 29.9 °C 1.6 mmThursday
Apr 1816.4 °C 26.0 °C 21.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Milguy minimum temp history (29.35°S, 150.2°E, 279m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.0° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 6.8° 11/04/2024 Hottest on record 35.3 03/04/2016 Coldest on record 1.2 28/04/1999 Hottest this year 43.2° 22/01/2024 Coldest this year 6.8° 11/04/2024 Long term average 27.3° Long term average 12.8° Average this month 26.9° Average this month 15.1° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.4° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 9.9° 1996 Milguy rainfall history (29.35°S, 150.2°E, 279m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 34.2mm 05/04/2024 Total This Month 89.2mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 20.3mm 3.5 days Wettest April on record 147.0mm 2015 Driest on record 0.0mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Milguy Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 227.1mm 23.8 day(s) Total For 2024 188.0mm 37.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 180.6mm 19.0 day(s) Wettest Day 34.2mm Apr 5 Lowest Temperature 6.8°C Apr11 Highest Temperature 43.2°C Jan22 -
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Climatology
Climate History
Milguy Climatology
Milguy Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 34.4 33.3 31.2 27.3 22.6 19.0 18.4 20.6 24.6 28.2 30.9 33.0 26.9 Mean Min (°C) 20.5 19.7 17.4 12.8 8.3 5.9 4.6 5.3 9.0 12.9 16.4 18.6 12.6 Mean Rain (mm) 76.7 66.6 63.5 20.3 29.0 37.0 32.5 25.6 35.6 51.4 74.1 66.4 578.1 Mean Rain Days 7.0 6.9 6.4 3.5 4.9 6.3 6.1 4.8 5.2 6.9 7.6 8.2 73.7