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Forecast

Middle Dural (33.6485°S, 151.0213°E, 198m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy 15°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:19am EST 6:45am EST 5:18pm EST 5:44pm EST
    NOW
    13.9° Feels Like: 6.9°
    Relative Humidity: 39%
    Dew: 0.2°
    Wind: W 26km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Middle Dural
    Now
    15.6°c
    Feels Like:
    9.9°
    Wind:
    W 20km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    39%
    Windy
     
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Today in Middle Dural
    Mostly sunny. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h.

    Forecast for Middle Dural (33.6485°S, 151.0213°E, 198m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Windy Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 15° 18° 18° 17° 17° 18° 19°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 50% 70% 50% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW W WNW SW SSE NW ENE NNW N
    Relative humidity 53% 37% 63% 47% 65% 45% 69% 49% 76% 66% 82% 63% 74% 48%
    Dew point 2°C 0°C 6°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 8°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Middle Dural Rain Forecast


    Middle Dural 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 2 September to 6 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 18 August to 22 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Middle Dural Rain Forecast


    Middle Dural 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    8
    6
    7
    7
    8
    6
    10
    5
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Middle Dural Rain Forecast


    Middle Dural 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 2 September to 6 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 18 August to 22 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Middle Dural Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jul 31
    8.6 °C 20.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 01
    12.6 °C 23.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 02
    7.0 °C 17.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 03
    10.9 °C 19.1 °C
    3.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 04
    7.5 °C 15.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Middle Dural minimum temp history (33.6485°S, 151.0213°E, 198m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.7° 01/08/2021 Coldest this month 7.0° 02/08/2021
    Hottest on record 27.9 23/08/2012 Coldest on record 1.5 05/08/2015
    Hottest this year 37.5° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 2.9° 30/07/2021
    Long term average 17.8° Long term average 8.3°
    Average this month 18.8° Average this month 9.5°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.6° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 6.3° 2008
    Middle Dural rainfall history (33.6485°S, 151.0213°E, 198m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.0mm 03/08/2021 Total This Month 3.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 55.6mm 8.6 days Wettest August on record 235.6mm 2014
    Driest on record 2.6mm 2018
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Middle Dural Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 786.2mm 98.8 day(s)
    Total For 2021 884.2mm 107.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 783.2mm 117.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 112.8mm Mar21
    Lowest Temperature 2.9°C Jul30
    Highest Temperature 37.5°C Jan26
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Middle Dural Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.9 25.9 24.7 22.3 19.5 16.4 16.4 17.8 20.6 22.7 24.1 25.6 21.9
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.1 16.8 13.9 10.7 8.8 7.7 8.3 11.0 13.2 15.3 16.7 13.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 93.6 121.3 165.4 97.7 55.6 133.0 64.0 55.6 63.4 82.1 93.5 86.5 1086.2
    Mean Rain Days 14.1 14.2 14.9 12.8 9.0 14.3 10.9 8.6 9.9 11.8 12.3 11.9 142.4