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Forecast

Mid North Coast Msc (31.1021°S, 152.8327°E, 15m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 23°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:05am EST 6:31am EST 4:59pm EST 5:25pm EST
    NOW
    10.4° Feels Like: 10.5°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 10.2°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1027.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mid North Coast Msc
    Now
    10.0°c
    Feels Like:
    10.0°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    4km/h
    Humidity:
    98%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Mid North Coast Msc
    Mostly sunny. Patchy morning fog. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. The chance of morning fog in the N. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 23.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Patchy morning fog. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 22.

    Forecast for Mid North Coast Msc (31.1021°S, 152.8327°E, 15m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Showers Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 11° 10° 10°
    Maximum 23° 23° 23° 21° 23° 23° 23°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 70% 60% 80% 90% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW ENE NW E WSW SSW SW SSW SW SSE SW SSE WNW ENE
    Relative humidity 75% 63% 77% 57% 69% 69% 82% 80% 80% 79% 83% 80% 80% 74%
    Dew point 11°C 15°C 11°C 13°C 11°C 16°C 14°C 16°C 14°C 17°C 15°C 19°C 14°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mid North Coast Msc Rain Forecast


    Mid North Coast Msc 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 May to 27 May, 2 June to 6 June, and 15 June to 19 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 May to 29 May, and 30 May to 3 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 May to 29 May, 30 May to 3 June, and 21 June to 25 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mid North Coast Msc Rain Forecast


    Mid North Coast Msc 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2021
    2022
    7
    5
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    3
    8
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 10

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. La Niña has officially ended, with neutral conditions expected until at least the end of winter, therefore having no effect on our climate here in Australia. While La Niña has returned to neutral, the oceans around northern Australia are warmer than normal. This may enhance rainfall during the next month or so, before the oceans return to normal conditions. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is expected to continue to be neutral at least until early winter. The confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southwestern WA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The warmer than normal oceans may be playing a role in this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across Australia's snowfields. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from far southwestern WA, parts of southeastern QLD and NSW, southern VIC and much of TAS. The warmer than normal oceans may be playing a role in this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across Australia's snowfields.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mid North Coast Msc Rain Forecast


    Mid North Coast Msc 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 May to 27 May, 2 June to 6 June, and 15 June to 19 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 May to 29 May, and 30 May to 3 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 May to 29 May, 30 May to 3 June, and 21 June to 25 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mid North Coast Msc Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    May 14
    4.5 °C 24.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 15
    4.1 °C 21.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    May 16
    4.3 °C 20.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    May 17
    1.6 °C 20.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    May 18
    4.4 °C 21.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mid North Coast Msc minimum temp history (31.1021°S, 152.8327°E, 15m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.7° 08/05/2021 Coldest this month 1.6° 17/05/2021
    Hottest on record 30.6 04/05/2007 Coldest on record -2.3 30/05/2004
    Hottest this year 34.0° 15/01/2021 Coldest this year 1.6° 17/05/2021
    Long term average 22.5° Long term average 8.7°
    Average this month 23.0° Average this month 10.3°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.3° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 5.6° 2006
    Mid North Coast Msc rainfall history (31.1021°S, 152.8327°E, 15m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.0mm 06/05/2021 Total This Month 49.8mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 62.8mm 11.2 days Wettest May on record 232.0mm 2015
    Driest on record 0.2mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mid North Coast Msc Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 604.7mm 68.9 day(s)
    Total For 2021 1316.2mm 78.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 723.8mm 62.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 225.8mm Mar19
    Lowest Temperature 1.6°C May17
    Highest Temperature 34.0°C Jan15
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mid North Coast Msc Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.6 28.8 27.4 25.4 22.5 20.2 20.1 21.7 24.5 25.8 27.0 28.4 25.1
    Mean Min (°C) 17.9 18.0 16.5 13.0 8.7 6.9 5.0 5.1 8.1 11.1 14.3 16.3 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 112.0 162.3 199.5 69.0 62.8 126.8 32.2 49.8 39.7 82.4 101.4 112.4 1099.8
    Mean Rain Days 13.3 14.8 16.0 13.4 11.2 13.5 9.6 7.4 8.7 10.9 12.8 14.1 144.0