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Forecast

Michelago (35.7094°S, 149.1653°E, 685m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Frost then sunny -7° 11°
    frost then sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:27am EST 6:54am EST 5:25pm EST 5:52pm EST
    NOW
    2.1° Feels Like: -2.3°
    Relative Humidity: 59%
    Dew: -5.0°
    Wind: SW 9km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Michelago
    Now
    1.1°c
    Feels Like:
    -2.0°
    Wind:
    E 4km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Frost then sunny
     
    -7°
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Today in Michelago
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    -7°
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Cloudy. Areas of frost in the north in the early morning. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain, most likely from the late morning. Snow falling above 1000 metres. Heavy falls possible. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Michelago

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon.

    Forecast for Michelago (35.7094°S, 149.1653°E, 685m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Frost then sunny Rain Showers Showers Mostly sunny Frost then sunny Showers
    Minimum -7° -4° -1°
    Maximum 11° 12° 11° 13° 13° 12°
    Chance of rain 40% 90% 80% 90% 50% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 20-40mm 10-20mm 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Severe Severe Slight Moderate Moderate Severe Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 3
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W NNE SE ESE ESE NNW WSW SW S S E N NNW NNW
    Relative humidity 78% 44% 89% 86% 98% 76% 96% 76% 86% 61% 84% 57% 96% 75%
    Dew point -4°C -2°C 1°C 5°C 8°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 5°C 2°C 4°C 6°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Michelago Rain Forecast


    Michelago 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    HIGH
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 August to 18 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 28 August to 1 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 6 September to 10 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 August to 16 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 28 August to 1 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Michelago Rain Forecast


    Michelago 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    10
    6
    4
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Michelago Rain Forecast


    Michelago 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    HIGH
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 August to 18 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 28 August to 1 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 6 September to 10 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 August to 16 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 28 August to 1 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

    Michelago Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Michelago

  13. Past 5 Days

    Michelago Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Aug 01
    -1.1 °C 12.0 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 02
    -2.0 °C 11.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Aug 03
    0.4 °C 12.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    0.6 °C 11.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    1.1 °C 10.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Michelago minimum temp history (35.7094°S, 149.1653°E, 685m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 12.9° 03/08/2020 Coldest this month -2.0° 02/08/2020
    Hottest on record 22.5 27/08/2007 Coldest on record -8.4 03/08/1997
    Hottest this year 43.3° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -4.6° 05/06/2020
    Long term average 14.1° Long term average 0.9°
    Average this month 11.1° Average this month -0.2°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 15.8° 2011 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -1.5° 1997
    Michelago rainfall history (35.7094°S, 149.1653°E, 685m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 01/08/2020 Total This Month 0.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 48.8mm 9.2 days Wettest August on record 122.6mm 1998
    Driest on record 8.4mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Michelago Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 405.0mm 64.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 458.6mm 64.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 251.4mm 56.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 56.4mm Feb16
    Lowest Temperature -4.6°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 43.3°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Michelago Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 28.1 25.3 20.9 16.6 13.0 12.2 14.1 17.6 20.8 24.3 27.1 20.8
    Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.2 11.4 6.8 2.7 1.4 0.1 0.9 3.8 6.3 9.8 12.2 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 56.0 81.2 54.9 35.4 25.4 59.9 43.4 48.8 64.3 53.3 74.6 68.7 666.0
    Mean Rain Days 7.3 7.4 7.0 6.1 6.0 10.4 11.1 9.2 8.7 8.4 9.5 8.1 95.0