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Forecast

McLeods Shoot (28.6529°S, 153.5445°E, 105m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 15° 22°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:59am EST 6:23am EST 5:19pm EST 5:44pm EST
    NOW
    20.1° Feels Like: 22.0°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 19.1°
    Wind: N 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1011.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    McLeods Shoot
    Now
    21.2°c
    Feels Like:
    19.0°
    Wind:
    N 17km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    62%
    Sunny
     
    15°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in McLeods Shoot
    Slight chance of a shower this morning. Patchy morning fog. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    11°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for McLeods Shoot

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Slight chance of a shower this morning. Patchy morning fog. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for McLeods Shoot (28.6529°S, 153.5445°E, 105m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 15° 11° 10° 13° 13° 16° 16°
    Maximum 22° 18° 18° 18° 20° 23° 22°
    Chance of rain 70% 5% 50% 60% 10% 5% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W NNE W W W WSW SW SSW SW ENE NNW NNE N NNE
    Relative humidity 90% 75% 60% 45% 63% 53% 76% 72% 77% 69% 73% 69% 72% 74%
    Dew point 15°C 17°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 9°C 11°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 14°C 17°C 14°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    McLeods Shoot Rain Forecast


    McLeods Shoot 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 August to 31 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 August to 26 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 5 September to 9 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    McLeods Shoot Rain Forecast


    McLeods Shoot 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    7
    5
    8
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    McLeods Shoot Rain Forecast


    McLeods Shoot 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 August to 31 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 August to 26 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 5 September to 9 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    McLeods Shoot Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    14.4 °C 21.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    13.5 °C 24.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    13.9 °C 18.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    15.4 °C 19.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 08
    13.0 °C 20.7 °C
    22.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    McLeods Shoot minimum temp history (28.6529°S, 153.5445°E, 105m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.0° 05/08/2020 Coldest this month 11.6° 01/08/2020
    Hottest on record 28.3 24/08/2009 Coldest on record 6.6 12/08/2008
    Hottest this year 32.7° 30/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.4° 05/07/2020
    Long term average 20.0° Long term average 13.1°
    Average this month 20.2° Average this month 13.5°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.5° 2013 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 11.6° 2008
    McLeods Shoot rainfall history (28.6529°S, 153.5445°E, 105m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 22.0mm 08/08/2020 Total This Month 25.6mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 82.9mm 8.5 days Wettest August on record 302.8mm 2014
    Driest on record 2.6mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    McLeods Shoot Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 1126.4mm 109.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1562.0mm 109.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 639.6mm 104.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 275.4mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 9.4°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 32.7°C Jan30
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    McLeods Shoot Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.8 27.5 26.5 24.0 21.4 19.3 18.7 20.0 22.0 23.7 25.3 26.4 23.6
    Mean Min (°C) 21.2 21.1 20.1 17.6 15.1 13.2 12.1 13.1 15.3 16.8 18.6 19.9 17.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 167.0 164.6 156.9 178.5 100.8 182.4 93.3 82.9 46.5 90.1 103.6 142.9 1518.4
    Mean Rain Days 15.3 14.7 16.9 14.6 13.3 13.9 12.0 8.5 9.2 12.2 11.4 13.7 142.4