Forecast
McLeods Shoot (28.6529°S, 153.5445°E, 105m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY22° 27° clearing shower Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:26am EDT 6:49am EDT 6:56pm EDT 7:20pm EDT NOW23.4° Feels Like: 24.7° Relative Humidity: 86% Dew: 20.9° Wind: E 15km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1018.5hPa -
Today Weather
McLeods ShootNow21.6°cFeels Like:25.6°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:94%22°Min27°MaxToday in McLeods ShootPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely at night. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.Tomorrow21°Min24°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds S 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for McLeods Shoot
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely at night. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
Forecast for McLeods Shoot (28.6529°S, 153.5445°E, 105m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 22° 21° 21° 20° 20° 21° 21° Maximum 27° 24° 25° 25° 24° 26° 27° Chance of rain 70% 70% 70% 60% 70% 70% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate No Rating Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)12
(km/h)31
(km/h)36
(km/h)23
(km/h)22
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)Wind direction SE E S S S SSE SW S SW S SW SE WSW SE Relative humidity 81% 69% 89% 81% 80% 78% 86% 78% 86% 79% 83% 74% 80% 73% Dew point 21°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 19°C 21°C 19°C 21°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 22°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
McLeods Shoot Rain Forecast
McLeods Shoot 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
McLeods Shoot Rain Forecast
McLeods Shoot 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025678787676887105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
McLeods Shoot Rain Forecast
McLeods Shoot 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
McLeods Shoot Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1520.1 °C 24.8 °C -Saturday
Mar 1620.9 °C 25.3 °C 31.2 mmSunday
Mar 1718.3 °C 26.5 °C 25.0 mmMonday
Mar 1819.4 °C 27.1 °C 11.4 mmTuesday
Mar 1921.2 °C 29.1 °C 0.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
McLeods Shoot minimum temp history (28.6529°S, 153.5445°E, 105m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.1° 19/03/2024 Coldest this month 18.3° 17/03/2024 Hottest on record 32.4 25/03/2011 Coldest on record 14.7 01/03/2008 Hottest this year 32.7° 19/01/2024 Coldest this year 18.3° 17/03/2024 Long term average 26.5° Long term average 20.1° Average this month 27.2° Average this month 21.1° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.8° 2014 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 18.7° 2003 McLeods Shoot rainfall history (28.6529°S, 153.5445°E, 105m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 31.2mm 16/03/2024 Total This Month 96.8mm
10.0 daysLong Term Average 188.5mm 17.6 days Wettest March on record 329.2mm 2016 Driest on record 0.0mm 2009 -
Year to Date
McLeods Shoot Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 545.2mm 48.7 day(s) Total For 2024 516.4mm 43.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 348.6mm 39.0 day(s) Wettest Day 108.6mm Jan16 Lowest Temperature 18.3°C Mar17 Highest Temperature 32.7°C Jan19 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
McLeods Shoot Climatology
McLeods Shoot Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.0 27.5 26.5 24.1 21.4 19.4 19.0 20.2 22.0 23.7 25.4 26.7 23.6 Mean Min (°C) 21.3 21.1 20.1 17.8 15.1 13.2 12.4 13.1 15.3 17.0 18.6 20.0 17.0 Mean Rain (mm) 150.7 206.0 188.5 160.0 104.5 150.8 84.1 64.3 52.8 94.1 99.5 132.8 1468.1 Mean Rain Days 15.2 15.9 17.6 15.5 13.9 13.1 11.2 8.3 9.1 12.7 12.0 14.2 157.1