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Forecast

Manara (32.2659°S, 144.728°E, 110m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 16°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:46am EST 7:12am EST 5:47pm EST 6:13pm EST
    NOW
    14.4° Feels Like: 7.8°
    Relative Humidity: 60%
    Dew: 6.7°
    Wind: WSW 30km/h
    Gust: 39km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1021.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Manara
    Now
    14.4°c
    Feels Like:
    7.8°
    Wind:
    WSW 30km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    60%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Manara
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers near the Victorian border, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 14 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the Victorian border, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers near the Victorian border, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 14 and 17.

    Forecast for Manara (32.2659°S, 144.728°E, 110m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 16° 16° 16° 17° 17° 17° 22°
    Chance of rain 30% 10% 10% 20% 10% 20% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW WSW SW WSW WSW WSW SW SE S NNE NNE NNE N
    Relative humidity 82% 57% 90% 59% 87% 57% 84% 53% 82% 54% 78% 47% 67% 33%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Manara Rain Forecast


    Manara 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 2 September to 6 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 18 August to 22 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Manara Rain Forecast


    Manara 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    7
    8
    7
    8
    8
    7
    9
    8
    5
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Manara Rain Forecast


    Manara 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 2 September to 6 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 18 August to 22 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Manara Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jul 31
    9.4 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 01
    11.2 °C 15.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 02
    2.8 °C 19.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 03
    7.0 °C 13.6 °C
    5.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 04
    4.4 °C 14.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Manara minimum temp history (32.2659°S, 144.728°E, 110m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 17.3° 02/08/2021 Coldest this month 4.0° 02/08/2021
    Hottest on record 31.0 30/08/2007 Coldest on record -2.5 03/08/2014
    Hottest this year 41.7° 23/01/2021 Coldest this year -0.5° 30/05/2021
    Long term average 18.7° Long term average 5.8°
    Average this month 16.1° Average this month 6.8°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.3° 2007 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 4.6° 2012
    Manara rainfall history (32.2659°S, 144.728°E, 110m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.0mm 03/08/2021 Total This Month 4.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 19.2mm 7.3 days Wettest August on record 73.8mm 2016
    Driest on record 2.0mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Manara Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 189.7mm 48.3 day(s)
    Total For 2021 250.2mm 60.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 198.2mm 39.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 28.8mm Jan 4
    Lowest Temperature -0.5°C May30
    Highest Temperature 41.7°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Manara Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 36.0 34.2 30.4 25.9 20.4 16.9 16.7 18.7 23.3 27.2 30.8 33.4 26.2
    Mean Min (°C) 20.7 19.8 16.4 12.2 8.1 5.9 5.0 5.8 8.9 12.1 16.0 18.3 12.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 24.4 30.9 29.8 20.9 21.7 26.9 15.9 19.2 20.1 25.5 23.5 19.1 270.3
    Mean Rain Days 4.3 3.9 4.4 4.1 5.8 10.1 8.4 7.3 5.5 4.9 5.0 4.0 66.3