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Forecast

Lower Mangrove (33.412°S, 151.1507°E, 40m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 16°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:56am EST 6:21am EST 5:33pm EST 5:58pm EST
    NOW
    14.0° Feels Like: 11.6°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 12.7°
    Wind: SSW 17km/h
    Gust: SSW 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Lower Mangrove
    Now
    13.2°c
    Feels Like:
    12.1°
    Wind:
    WSW 7km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    86%
    Showers
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Lower Mangrove
    Cloudy. Areas of fog about the Upper Hunter early this morning. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog about the Upper Hunter. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm about the Lower Hunter. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Areas of fog about the Upper Hunter early this morning. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 20.

    Forecast for Lower Mangrove (33.412°S, 151.1507°E, 40m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Showers Showers Mostly sunny Possible shower Showers Clearing shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 16° 17° 20° 17° 17° 18° 23°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 50% 60% 70% 80% 70%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 5-10mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 3
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW S S S WSW ESE SW SSW SW SSE S S SW S
    Relative humidity 86% 81% 86% 83% 80% 60% 69% 67% 80% 65% 85% 74% 80% 60%
    Dew point 11°C 12°C 12°C 14°C 10°C 12°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 13°C 11°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lower Mangrove Rain Forecast


    Lower Mangrove 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 August to 28 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lower Mangrove Rain Forecast


    Lower Mangrove 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    5
    5
    4
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lower Mangrove Rain Forecast


    Lower Mangrove 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 August to 28 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lower Mangrove Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Aug 22
    8.5 °C 19.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 23
    8.0 °C 18.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 24
    3.0 °C 25.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 25
    4.4 °C 23 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 26
    12 °C -
    1.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lower Mangrove minimum temp history (33.412°S, 151.1507°E, 40m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.8° 16/08/2019 Coldest this month 0.2° 13/08/2019
    Hottest on record 28.1 21/08/1995 Coldest on record -0.5 13/08/2005
    Hottest this year 39.7° 26/01/2019 Coldest this year 0.2° 13/08/2019
    Long term average 17.4° Long term average 6.6°
    Average this month 18.8° Average this month 5.3°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.9° 1995 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 4.2° 2008
    Lower Mangrove rainfall history (33.412°S, 151.1507°E, 40m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.4mm 01/08/2019 Total This Month 2.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 64.0mm 8.8 days Wettest August on record 198.8mm 1995
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Lower Mangrove Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 816.2mm 102.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 619.2mm 83.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 487.8mm 76.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 83.6mm Mar17
    Lowest Temperature 0.2°C Aug13
    Highest Temperature 39.7°C Jan26
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lower Mangrove Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.3 26.6 24.8 21.8 18.7 15.9 15.4 17.4 20.5 22.9 24.5 26.2 21.8
    Mean Min (°C) 16.9 16.9 15.2 12.1 9.1 7.3 6.0 6.6 9.3 11.4 13.8 15.4 11.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 118.5 146.9 144.6 91.0 86.9 117.1 47.2 64.0 68.8 72.8 101.4 97.0 1155.7
    Mean Rain Days 13.9 13.8 14.3 13.3 13.2 13.5 11.3 8.8 9.5 10.7 13.4 11.8 140.8