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Forecast

Lower Bago (35.5674°S, 147.9667°E, 437m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 12°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:17am EST 6:43am EST 5:40pm EST 6:06pm EST
    NOW
    14.0° Feels Like: 7.9°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 8.8°
    Wind: WSW 30km/h
    Gust: WSW 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Lower Bago
    Now
    11.9°c
    Feels Like:
    8.7°
    Wind:
    N 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    82%
    Showers
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Lower Bago
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers near the Victorian border, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1700 metres. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers near the Victorian border, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1300 metres. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h tending SW in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers near the Victorian border, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1700 metres. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 15.

    Forecast for Lower Bago (35.5674°S, 147.9667°E, 437m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Showers Clearing shower Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Possible shower Frost then sunny
    Minimum -4° -2°
    Maximum 12° 13° 14° 13° 16° 13° 14°
    Chance of rain 90% 30% 5% 20% 60% 60% 20%
    Likely amount 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Moderate Slight Severe Severe High High High
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW W WSW SW NNE WNW NNE NW N WNW WSW WSW SW W
    Relative humidity 97% 82% 87% 49% 59% 51% 69% 57% 71% 54% 82% 70% 74% 62%
    Dew point 4°C 8°C 4°C 3°C -1°C 4°C 1°C 5°C 3°C 6°C 5°C 8°C 5°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lower Bago Rain Forecast


    Lower Bago 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 August to 2 September, 3 September to 7 September, and 17 September to 21 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 August to 30 August, 6 September to 10 September, and 11 September to 15 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 September to 10 September, 12 September to 16 September, and 17 September to 21 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lower Bago Rain Forecast


    Lower Bago 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    4
    4
    5
    5
    6
    6
    6
    7
    5
    4
    8
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lower Bago Rain Forecast


    Lower Bago 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 August to 2 September, 3 September to 7 September, and 17 September to 21 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 August to 30 August, 6 September to 10 September, and 11 September to 15 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 September to 10 September, 12 September to 16 September, and 17 September to 21 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lower Bago Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Aug 17
    2.2 °C 16.0 °C
    0.8 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 18
    1.5 °C 17.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 19
    2.2 °C 6.8 °C
    10.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 20
    3.0 °C 7 °C
    0.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 21
    5 °C -
    5.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lower Bago minimum temp history (35.5674°S, 147.9667°E, 437m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 17.0° 18/08/2019 Coldest this month -4.2° 06/08/2019
    Hottest on record 22.0 25/08/1995 Coldest on record -8.1 09/08/1994
    Hottest this year 40.8° 16/01/2019 Coldest this year -5.9° 22/06/2019
    Long term average 12.3° Long term average 0.9°
    Average this month 11.1° Average this month 0.2°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 15.0° 2011 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -1.7° 1994
    Lower Bago rainfall history (35.5674°S, 147.9667°E, 437m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.4mm 09/08/2019 Total This Month 57.6mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 100.6mm 12.7 days Wettest August on record 246.6mm 2011
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Lower Bago Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 616.2mm 70.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 554.3mm 112.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 401.4mm 79.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 48.6mm May 3
    Lowest Temperature -5.9°C Jun22
    Highest Temperature 40.8°C Jan16
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lower Bago Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.9 28.4 25.1 20.0 15.2 11.8 10.7 12.3 15.4 19.4 22.8 26.0 19.5
    Mean Min (°C) 12.2 12.1 8.9 5.1 2.4 0.3 -0.1 0.9 3.1 5.3 7.8 9.8 5.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 58.4 52.4 63.8 62.5 79.6 98.9 100.0 100.6 86.9 90.0 72.5 66.8 930.4
    Mean Rain Days 5.6 5.4 6.2 6.8 9.0 11.8 13.2 12.7 10.7 9.6 7.8 6.8 104.4