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Forecast

Lisarow (33.3808°S, 151.3713°E, 35m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Late shower 17°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:31am EST 6:59am EST 5:01pm EST 5:28pm EST
    NOW
    8.6° Feels Like: 8.2°
    Relative Humidity: 97%
    Dew: 8.1°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Lisarow
    Now
    12.9°c
    Feels Like:
    11.3°
    Wind:
    SW 7km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Late shower
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Lisarow
    Mostly sunny. Areas of fog and frost about the Upper Hunter in the morning. Medium chance of showers about the Lower Hunter in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. The chance of morning fog about the Upper Hunter. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Lisarow

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of fog and frost about the Upper Hunter in the morning. Medium chance of showers about the Lower Hunter in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18.

    Forecast for Lisarow (33.3808°S, 151.3713°E, 35m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 17° 17° 18° 18° 18° 19° 18°
    Chance of rain 80% 50% 20% 30% 30% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    0
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    0
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW SSW SSW SSE W ENE WNW NNE NNW NNW WNW S SW SSW
    Relative humidity 80% 64% 90% 68% 91% 66% 93% 66% 94% 67% 85% 60% 92% 72%
    Dew point 9°C 9°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 10°C 11°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lisarow Rain Forecast


    Lisarow 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 July to 26 July, 1 August to 5 August, and 9 August to 13 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 31 July to 4 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 July to 26 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 1 August to 5 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lisarow Rain Forecast


    Lisarow 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    7
    7
    7
    8
    10
    7
    6
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lisarow Rain Forecast


    Lisarow 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 July to 26 July, 1 August to 5 August, and 9 August to 13 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 31 July to 4 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 July to 26 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 1 August to 5 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lisarow Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jul 02
    6.3 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jul 03
    9.1 °C 17.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    5.7 °C 15.4 °C
    0.6 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 05
    5.5 °C 17.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 06
    5.6 °C 17.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lisarow minimum temp history (33.3808°S, 151.3713°E, 35m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.0° 02/07/2020 Coldest this month 8.7° 04/07/2020
    Hottest on record 24.7 04/07/2004 Coldest on record 4.0 17/07/2007
    Hottest this year 40.7° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 7.9° 23/06/2020
    Long term average 17.3° Long term average 9.7°
    Average this month 18.2° Average this month 10.5°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.5° 2016 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 8.3° 1995
    Lisarow rainfall history (33.3808°S, 151.3713°E, 35m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.0mm 04/07/2020 Total This Month 2.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 89.4mm 11.4 days Wettest July on record 383.6mm 1997
    Driest on record 0.8mm 1998
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Lisarow Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 847.6mm 89.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 836.4mm 89.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 701.0mm 99.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 94.8mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 7.9°C Jun23
    Highest Temperature 40.7°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Lisarow Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.1 26.0 25.1 22.9 20.3 18.0 17.3 18.8 21.0 22.7 23.7 24.9 22.2
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 20.0 18.9 15.9 13.1 11.1 9.7 10.5 12.8 14.8 16.8 18.4 15.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.7 115.3 123.8 139.3 141.7 148.4 89.4 73.6 72.7 58.4 96.3 70.3 1223.3
    Mean Rain Days 12.3 12.0 13.3 13.8 13.6 13.5 11.4 9.0 11.5 10.5 12.5 11.3 140.7