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Forecast

Limbri (31.0392°S, 151.1548°E, 465m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy 17° 30°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am EDT 6:16am EDT 7:08pm EDT 7:33pm EDT
    NOW
    28.9° Feels Like: 20.8°
    Relative Humidity: 27%
    Dew: 8.0°
    Wind: W 39km/h
    Gust: 48km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Limbri
    Now
    28.6°c
    Feels Like:
    22.3°
    Wind:
    W 30km/h
    Gusts:
    41km/h
    Humidity:
    27%
    Windy
     
    17°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Limbri
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower on the northern slopes during the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm on the slopes during the morning and afternoon. Possible areas of raised dust. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h shifting SW 25 to 40 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 34.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower on the northern slopes during the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm on the slopes during the morning and afternoon. Possible areas of raised dust. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h shifting SW 25 to 40 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 34.

    Forecast for Limbri (31.0392°S, 151.1548°E, 465m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Windy Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 17°
    Maximum 30° 27° 30° 26° 29° 30° 31°
    Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW W SSE W NNE W SSW SW E SSW ESE SSW NW WSW
    Relative humidity 44% 22% 25% 7% 17% 6% 32% 11% 42% 15% 43% 15% 44% 16%
    Dew point 13°C 6°C -4°C -12°C -7°C -12°C -0°C -7°C 4°C -0°C 5°C 0°C 7°C 2°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Limbri Rain Forecast


    Limbri 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 7 November to 11 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 October to 29 October, 30 October to 3 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Limbri Rain Forecast


    Limbri 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    3
    3
    6
    5
    6
    6
    7
    6
    8
    6
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Limbri Rain Forecast


    Limbri 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 7 November to 11 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 October to 29 October, 30 October to 3 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Limbri Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Oct 13
    7.2 °C 23.4 °C
    27.4 mm
    Monday
    Oct 14
    10.7 °C 27.4 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 15
    14.6 °C 32.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 16
    12.5 °C 35.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Oct 17
    14.4 °C -
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Limbri minimum temp history (31.0392°S, 151.1548°E, 465m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 37.9° 07/10/2019 Coldest this month 2.9° 09/10/2019
    Hottest on record 38.6 26/10/2014 Coldest on record -0.3 13/10/2012
    Hottest this year 42.9° 16/01/2019 Coldest this year -4.1° 19/07/2019
    Long term average 25.4° Long term average 9.5°
    Average this month 28.3° Average this month 10.5°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.9° 2014 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 7.1° 2012
    Limbri rainfall history (31.0392°S, 151.1548°E, 465m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 27.4mm 13/10/2019 Total This Month 29.2mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 55.1mm 8.0 days Wettest October on record 121.6mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Limbri Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 501.3mm 68.2 day(s)
    Total For 2019 228.6mm 44.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 198.6mm 44.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 46.0mm Mar30
    Lowest Temperature -4.1°C Jul19
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan16
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Limbri Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.7 31.6 29.2 25.4 20.8 16.9 16.2 18.3 21.8 25.4 28.5 30.5 24.7
    Mean Min (°C) 17.4 16.9 14.4 10.0 5.9 3.8 2.3 2.8 5.9 9.5 13.4 15.6 9.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 66.2 75.2 53.1 27.0 31.2 57.7 45.6 42.1 48.1 55.1 86.3 84.9 671.5
    Mean Rain Days 6.7 7.1 6.8 4.1 4.8 8.8 8.6 6.3 7.0 8.0 8.5 8.8 83.2