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Forecast

Lilyvale (34.1961°S, 151.0114°E, 114m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Windy with showers 11° 29°
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:31am EST 5:56am EST 5:48pm EST 6:13pm EST
    NOW
    15.9° Feels Like: 13.9°
    Relative Humidity: 54%
    Dew: 6.8°
    Wind: S 6km/h
    Gust: S 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Lilyvale
    Now
    16.5°c
    Feels Like:
    15.6°
    Wind:
    SSW 2km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    56%
    Windy with showers
     
    11°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Lilyvale
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then shifting cool S/SE 30 to 50 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with showers
    11°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Cooler and cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds S/SW 25 to 35 km/h tending S/SE 25 to 40 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then shifting cool S/SE 30 to 50 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 27.

    Forecast for Lilyvale (34.1961°S, 151.0114°E, 114m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Windy with showers Rain Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 10° 12° 12° 11°
    Maximum 29° 15° 18° 22° 26° 27° 21°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 70% 70% 70% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 10-20mm
    UV index High Moderate Moderate High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW S S S S S SSE E NE NE NNE N SW SSE
    Relative humidity 40% 50% 87% 73% 66% 62% 79% 67% 77% 53% 69% 52% 69% 61%
    Dew point 6°C 11°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 16°C 11°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lilyvale Rain Forecast


    Lilyvale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 12 October to 16 October, and 18 October to 22 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 October to 12 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 September to 30 September, 10 October to 14 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lilyvale Rain Forecast


    Lilyvale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2019
    2020
    4
    3
    5
    5
    5
    6
    4
    4
    6
    9
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 10

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) continued the cooling trend over the central Pacific during August, with areas in the eastern equatorial Pacific exhibiting below average temperatures for the first time in about two years. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.2 and 0.1 through the month of August. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -4.4 during the past month, which remains in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, three out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these are likely to reach El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until the beginning of the summer. The climate outlook for spring favours below average rainfall across the southern half, and in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. On the other hand, far southern Victoria and western Tasmania could see above average rainfall during this period as a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) over Antarctica looks to enhance the negative phase of the southern annular mode (SAM) over the coming months.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lilyvale Rain Forecast


    Lilyvale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 12 October to 16 October, and 18 October to 22 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 October to 12 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 September to 30 September, 10 October to 14 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lilyvale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 11
    4.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 12
    - 25.1 °C
    -
    Friday
    Sep 13
    10.0 °C 21.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 14
    7.4 °C 19.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 15
    6.2 °C 29 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lilyvale minimum temp history (34.1961°S, 151.0114°E, 114m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.0° 06/09/2019 Coldest this month 2.4° 12/09/2019
    Hottest on record 32.9 28/09/2012 Coldest on record 0.6 13/09/2011
    Hottest this year 40.1° 05/01/2019 Coldest this year -1.2° 16/08/2019
    Long term average 22.3° Long term average 7.5°
    Average this month 23.1° Average this month 6.3°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.0° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 6.0° 2012
    Lilyvale rainfall history (34.1961°S, 151.0114°E, 114m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 10/09/2019 Total This Month 0.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 35.8mm 8.5 days Wettest September on record 55.2mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Lilyvale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 602.8mm 92.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 312.4mm 70.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 208.0mm 61.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 34.2mm Mar18
    Lowest Temperature -1.2°C Aug16
    Highest Temperature 40.1°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lilyvale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.0 28.4 27.1 23.7 21.1 17.6 17.4 19.2 22.3 25.0 27.2 27.9 24.0
    Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.9 15.1 11.3 7.2 6.0 3.9 4.7 7.5 10.0 13.6 15.2 10.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.1 100.7 87.5 70.7 39.4 105.4 29.5 44.7 35.8 41.9 76.6 59.7 784.9
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 10.6 12.9 11.1 7.2 12.3 10.3 7.8 8.5 8.5 10.1 12.0 108.8