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Forecast

Laheys Creek (32.1904°S, 149.273°E, 397m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 11° 32°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:49am EDT 6:15am EDT 7:20pm EDT 7:45pm EDT
    NOW
    28.3° Feels Like: 21.5°
    Relative Humidity: 18%
    Dew: 1.7°
    Wind: WSW 26km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Laheys Creek
    Now
    30.6°c
    Feels Like:
    24.6°
    Wind:
    WNW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    13%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Laheys Creek
    Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm on the northern slopes during this afternoon and early evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h turning NW 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then tending N in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Laheys Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm on the northern slopes during this afternoon and early evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.

    Forecast for Laheys Creek (32.1904°S, 149.273°E, 397m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 11° 13° 16° 18° 10°
    Maximum 32° 33° 35° 30° 26° 28° 32°
    Chance of rain 40% 20% 50% 50% 5% 10% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE W N NNW N NW NW W SSW WSW SE SSE ENE NNE
    Relative humidity 50% 19% 37% 20% 34% 17% 37% 23% 35% 18% 48% 25% 55% 24%
    Dew point 11°C 6°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 1°C 0°C 5°C 6°C 10°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Laheys Creek Rain Forecast


    Laheys Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 22 November to 26 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Laheys Creek Rain Forecast


    Laheys Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    2
    4
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    5
    8
    6
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Laheys Creek Rain Forecast


    Laheys Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 22 November to 26 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Laheys Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Oct 19
    4.9 °C 28.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 20
    6.4 °C 24.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 21
    9.7 °C 28.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 22
    11.9 °C 31.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 23
    11.8 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Laheys Creek minimum temp history (32.1904°S, 149.273°E, 397m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.5° 06/10/2019 Coldest this month 2.7° 09/10/2019
    Hottest on record 37.1 26/10/2014 Coldest on record -1.7 03/10/1968
    Hottest this year 43.8° 16/01/2019 Coldest this year -5.0° 22/06/2019
    Long term average 24.8° Long term average 9.2°
    Average this month 27.4° Average this month 9.1°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 7.0° 1971
    Laheys Creek rainfall history (32.1904°S, 149.273°E, 397m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.8mm 12/10/2019 Total This Month 3.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 49.7mm 6.6 days Wettest October on record 212.5mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Laheys Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 479.9mm 61.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 261.6mm 47.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 344.8mm 53.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 57.8mm Mar30
    Lowest Temperature -5.0°C Jun22
    Highest Temperature 43.8°C Jan16
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Laheys Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.2 31.4 28.6 24.6 19.9 16.2 15.5 17.5 20.9 24.8 28.1 30.9 24.2
    Mean Min (°C) 17.3 17.2 14.4 10.0 6.4 3.7 2.2 3.1 5.7 9.2 12.7 15.3 9.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 66.8 60.5 51.0 38.4 42.4 43.7 45.2 39.1 43.1 49.7 54.1 61.1 595.2
    Mean Rain Days 5.9 5.4 4.9 4.4 6.0 7.2 7.5 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 73.7