Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 07:56 AM EDT on Wednesday 27 January 2021
for the period until midnight EDT Thursday 28 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 27 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Enclosed Waters, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast, Batemans Coast and Eden Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Coffs Coast and Macquarie Coast
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Enclosed Waters, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast and Illawarra Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EDT Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Kurnell (34.0085°S, 151.2049°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY21° 23° windy with showers Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:43am EDT 6:11am EDT 8:05pm EDT 8:32pm EDT NOW21.7° Feels Like: 17.6° Relative Humidity: 91% Dew: 20.2° Wind: S 41km/h Gust: 48km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1011.3hPa -
Today Weather
KurnellNow21.9°cFeels Like:21.1°Wind:S 20km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:83%21°Min23°MaxToday in KurnellCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Winds S 25 to 35 km/h tending SE in the late evening.Tomorrow20°Min22°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Winds S 25 to 35 km/h tending SE in the late evening.
Forecast for Kurnell (34.0085°S, 151.2049°E, 0m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 21° 20° 20° 21° 21° 21° 21° Maximum 23° 22° 23° 25° 25° 25° 25° Chance of rain 70% 70% 90% 60% 70% 60% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 43
(km/h)43
(km/h)33
(km/h)35
(km/h)27
(km/h)30
(km/h)23
(km/h)27
(km/h)17
(km/h)24
(km/h)16
(km/h)25
(km/h)17
(km/h)23
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SSW SSE SSE ESE E NNE NE S SSE ENE E NNE ENE Relative humidity 84% 75% 78% 74% 81% 81% 85% 77% 85% 79% 78% 71% 79% 76% Dew point 19°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 19°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 21°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Kurnell Rain Forecast
Kurnell 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
HIGH29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
LOW5
6
MEDIUM7
MEDIUM8
LOW9
LOW10
11
MEDIUM12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
MEDIUM21
LOW22
MEDIUM23
LOW24
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Kurnell Rain Forecast
Kurnell 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021986877856544105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Kurnell Rain Forecast
Kurnell 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
HIGH29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
LOW5
6
MEDIUM7
MEDIUM8
LOW9
LOW10
11
MEDIUM12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
MEDIUM21
LOW22
MEDIUM23
LOW24
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Kurnell Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Jan 2219.9 °C 33.8 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Jan 2322.2 °C 30.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2421.8 °C 35.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2523.0 °C 32.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2622.7 °C 41.6 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Kurnell minimum temp history (34.0085°S, 151.2049°E, 0m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 41.6° 26/01/2021 Coldest this month 15.8° 21/01/2021 Hottest on record 46.4 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 9.7 18/01/1949 Hottest this year 41.6° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 15.8° 21/01/2021 Long term average 26.7° Long term average 19.0° Average this month 28.2° Average this month 19.3° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.1° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 15.9° 1948 Kurnell rainfall history (34.0085°S, 151.2049°E, 0m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 6.6mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 27.8mm
11.0 daysLong Term Average 94.1mm 11.2 days Wettest January on record 400.4mm 1972 Driest on record 5.4mm 1942 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
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Year to Date
Kurnell Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 94.1mm 11.2 day(s) Total For 2021 27.8mm 11.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 63.4mm 11.0 day(s) Wettest Day 6.6mm Jan 5 Lowest Temperature 15.8°C Jan21 Highest Temperature 41.6°C Jan26 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Kurnell Climatology
Kurnell Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.7 26.5 25.4 23.0 20.1 17.7 17.2 18.4 20.7 22.7 24.2 25.9 22.3 Mean Min (°C) 19.0 19.1 17.6 14.3 11.0 8.8 7.3 8.2 10.6 13.4 15.6 17.6 13.5 Mean Rain (mm) 94.1 114.2 118.1 106.0 95.3 125.9 69.8 75.6 59.7 70.1 80.3 72.7 1078.6 Mean Rain Days 11.2 11.5 12.6 11.1 10.9 11.5 9.3 9.0 9.3 10.6 11.3 10.6 128.7