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Forecast

Kurnell (34.0085°S, 151.2049°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 11° 16°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:27am EST 6:55am EST 4:53pm EST 5:20pm EST
    NOW
    7.8° Feels Like: 3.6°
    Relative Humidity: 77%
    Dew: 4.0°
    Wind: NNW 15km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1025.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Kurnell
    Now
    3.9°c
    Feels Like:
    2.5°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Kurnell
    Sunny. Areas of fog and patches of frost in the west in the morning. Light winds.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    11°
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers along the coastal fringe in the afternoon and evening, medium chance elsewhere. Light winds.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Kurnell

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Areas of fog and patches of frost in the west in the morning. Light winds.

    Forecast for Kurnell (34.0085°S, 151.2049°E, 0m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Thunderstorms Showers increasing Clearing shower Mostly sunny Showers increasing Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 11° 13° 14° 13° 12° 14°
    Maximum 16° 15° 15° 16° 17° 17° 16°
    Chance of rain 20% 80% 50% 30% 20% 70% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W SE SW SSW SW SSW SW SSE NW NE W SSE SSW SSE
    Relative humidity 73% 63% 78% 74% 77% 74% 80% 73% 82% 69% 81% 71% 81% 76%
    Dew point 8°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Kurnell Rain Forecast


    Kurnell 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 June to 28 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 8 July to 12 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 June to 21 June, and 6 July to 10 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 24 June to 28 June, and 8 July to 12 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Kurnell Rain Forecast


    Kurnell 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    8
    9
    8
    7
    6
    4
    8
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Kurnell Rain Forecast


    Kurnell 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 June to 28 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 8 July to 12 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 June to 21 June, and 6 July to 10 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 24 June to 28 June, and 8 July to 12 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Kurnell Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jun 01
    12.7 °C 23.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 02
    7.9 °C 15.9 °C
    3.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 03
    8.6 °C 17.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 04
    10.6 °C 15.6 °C
    0.6 mm
    Friday
    Jun 05
    7.0 °C 20.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Kurnell minimum temp history (34.0085°S, 151.2049°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.7° 01/06/2020 Coldest this month 7.0° 05/06/2020
    Hottest on record 26.8 05/06/1958 Coldest on record 1.0 21/06/1961
    Hottest this year 43.7° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 7.0° 05/06/2020
    Long term average 17.6° Long term average 8.7°
    Average this month 17.6° Average this month 9.4°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.4° 1957 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 6.3° 1962
    Kurnell rainfall history (34.0085°S, 151.2049°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.6mm 02/06/2020 Total This Month 4.2mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 125.4mm 11.4 days Wettest June on record 465.9mm 1950
    Driest on record 2.5mm 1962
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Kurnell Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 654.7mm 68.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 733.0mm 73.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 375.0mm 57.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 161.0mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 7.0°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 43.7°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Kurnell Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 26.4 25.3 22.9 20.1 17.6 17.1 18.4 20.6 22.7 24.1 25.8 22.3
    Mean Min (°C) 18.9 19.1 17.6 14.3 11.0 8.7 7.2 8.2 10.5 13.3 15.5 17.6 13.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 94.9 111.6 117.1 108.8 96.9 125.4 70.7 77.4 60.4 69.8 81.7 73.8 1088.5
    Mean Rain Days 11.2 11.5 12.5 11.2 11.1 11.4 9.4 9.2 9.4 10.6 11.4 10.6 127.3