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Forecast

Koolewong (33.4663°S, 151.3182°E, 87m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Hazy 12° 26°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:18am EDT 5:45am EDT 7:33pm EDT 8:01pm EDT
    NOW
    21.4° Feels Like: 18.3°
    Relative Humidity: 46%
    Dew: 9.3°
    Wind: ENE 15km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Koolewong
    Now
    19.7°c
    Feels Like:
    16.2°
    Wind:
    NE 15km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    45%
    Hazy
     
    12°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Koolewong
    Sunny. Areas of smoke haze about the Lower Hunter. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Hazy
    14°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Sunny. Areas of smoke haze about the Lower Hunter. Light winds becoming W 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Areas of smoke haze about the Lower Hunter. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 31.

    Forecast for Koolewong (33.4663°S, 151.3182°E, 87m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Hazy Hazy Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 14° 14° 14° 13° 13° 15°
    Maximum 26° 32° 24° 22° 25° 31° 25°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 70% 80% 30% 5% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		3
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W ENE NW W SSW ESE SSE SSE WNW E NW E S SE
    Relative humidity 37% 37% 39% 27% 59% 59% 74% 71% 68% 56% 46% 32% 64% 64%
    Dew point 6°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 13°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 12°C 12°C 15°C 17°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Koolewong Rain Forecast

    Koolewong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 November to 25 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 5 December to 9 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November, 25 November to 29 November, and 30 November to 4 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 November to 25 November, 29 November to 3 December, and 5 December to 9 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Koolewong Rain Forecast

    Koolewong 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    5
    6
    5
    7
    6
    8
    7
    5
    6
    2
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Koolewong Rain Forecast

    Koolewong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 November to 25 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 5 December to 9 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November, 25 November to 29 November, and 30 November to 4 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 November to 25 November, 29 November to 3 December, and 5 December to 9 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Koolewong Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Nov 10     		9.2 °C 23.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 11     		11.1 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12     		11.5 °C 35.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 13     		12.9 °C 23.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 14     		9.2 °C 25 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Koolewong minimum temp history (33.4663°S, 151.3182°E, 87m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.7° 12/11/2019 Coldest this month 9.3° 06/11/2019
    Hottest on record 39.5 20/11/2015 Coldest on record 5.8 16/11/2006
    Hottest this year 37.3° 31/01/2019 Coldest this year 2.8° 19/07/2019
    Long term average 24.1° Long term average 15.4°
    Average this month 25.7° Average this month 13.8°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.3° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 14.5° 2013
    Koolewong rainfall history (33.4663°S, 151.3182°E, 87m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.4mm 04/11/2019 Total This Month 10.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 106.2mm 12.9 days Wettest November on record 256.4mm 2009

  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Koolewong Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1085.7mm 130.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 910.8mm 117.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 775.4mm 119.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 85.0mm Sep18
    Lowest Temperature 2.8°C Jul19
    Highest Temperature 37.3°C Jan31

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Koolewong Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.7 26.0 24.7 22.0 19.5 16.5 16.0 17.8 20.6 22.8 24.1 25.3 21.9
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.2 16.9 13.8 10.7 8.9 7.6 8.4 11.1 13.1 15.4 16.6 13.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 100.4 138.5 136.4 124.1 60.4 154.9 67.7 58.6 67.2 71.3 106.2 85.7 1170.4
    Mean Rain Days 13.8 14.0 14.1 13.1 8.5 13.8 10.9 9.1 9.5 10.8 12.9 11.8 129.7

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