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Forecast

Koolewong (33.4663°S, 151.3182°E, 87m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 18°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:25am EST 6:53am EST 4:54pm EST 5:21pm EST
    NOW
    6.2° Feels Like: 4.5°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 6.0°
    Wind: WNW 4km/h
    Gust: 4km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Koolewong
    Now
    7.5°c
    Feels Like:
    4.7°
    Wind:
    W 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Koolewong
    Sunny. Areas of fog and frost about the Upper Hunter in the morning. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 4 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 19.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost about the Upper Hunter. Medium chance of showers about the Lower Hunter in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Koolewong

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Areas of fog and frost about the Upper Hunter in the morning. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 4 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 19.

    Forecast for Koolewong (33.4663°S, 151.3182°E, 87m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Late shower Showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 18° 17° 17° 19° 19° 19° 18°
    Chance of rain 5% 60% 60% 30% 20% 30% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W SSW WSW SSW SW SSW WSW SE WNW E W SSE WSW SSE
    Relative humidity 81% 62% 84% 71% 88% 73% 90% 73% 93% 68% 90% 73% 93% 72%
    Dew point 7°C 10°C 8°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Koolewong Rain Forecast


    Koolewong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 June to 28 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 8 July to 12 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 June to 21 June, and 6 July to 10 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 24 June to 28 June, and 8 July to 12 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Koolewong Rain Forecast


    Koolewong 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    6
    8
    7
    8
    8
    7
    6
    3
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Koolewong Rain Forecast


    Koolewong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 June to 28 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 8 July to 12 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 June to 21 June, and 6 July to 10 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 June to 17 June, 24 June to 28 June, and 8 July to 12 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Koolewong Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jun 01
    9.9 °C 22.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 02
    6.8 °C 15.7 °C
    1.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 03
    6.3 °C 18.5 °C
    2.2 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 04
    11.5 °C 16.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jun 05
    5.3 °C 19.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Koolewong minimum temp history (33.4663°S, 151.3182°E, 87m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.2° 01/06/2020 Coldest this month 4.8° 03/06/2020
    Hottest on record 21.9 09/06/2005 Coldest on record 0.9 30/06/2010
    Hottest this year 44.5° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 4.8° 03/06/2020
    Long term average 16.5° Long term average 8.9°
    Average this month 16.2° Average this month 7.8°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.5° 2005 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 7.5° 2006
    Koolewong rainfall history (33.4663°S, 151.3182°E, 87m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.0mm 02/06/2020 Total This Month 3.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 154.9mm 13.8 days Wettest June on record 361.8mm 2007
    Driest on record 27.0mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Koolewong Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 714.7mm 77.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 567.2mm 81.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 472.4mm 59.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 61.6mm Mar 6
    Lowest Temperature 4.8°C Jun 3
    Highest Temperature 44.5°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Koolewong Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.7 26.0 24.7 22.0 19.5 16.5 16.0 17.8 20.6 22.8 24.1 25.3 21.9
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.2 16.9 13.8 10.7 8.9 7.6 8.4 11.1 13.1 15.4 16.6 13.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 100.4 138.5 136.4 124.1 60.4 154.9 67.7 58.6 67.2 71.3 106.2 85.7 1170.4
    Mean Rain Days 13.8 14.0 14.1 13.1 8.5 13.8 10.9 9.1 9.5 10.8 12.9 11.8 129.7