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Forecast

Kirkham (34.0385°S, 150.7167°E, 56m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Windy 18° 41°
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:41am EDT 6:09am EDT 8:09pm EDT 8:37pm EDT
    NOW
    25.6° Feels Like: 25.1°
    Relative Humidity: 52%
    Dew: 15.0°
    Wind: NE 11km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1006.6hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Kirkham
    Now
    24.6°c
    Feels Like:
    26.7°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    60%
    Windy
     
    18°
    Min
    41°
    Max
    Today in Kirkham
    Hot. Mostly sunny day. Slight chance of a shower in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm with gusty winds in the late afternoon and evening. Possible dust haze from the afternoon. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming N/NW 30 to 45 km/h early in the morning.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    18°
    Min
    41°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h shifting S/SE before dawn then becoming light early in the morning.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Mostly sunny day. Slight chance of a shower in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm with gusty winds in the late afternoon and evening. Possible dust haze from the afternoon. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming N/NW 30 to 45 km/h early in the morning.

    Forecast for Kirkham (34.0385°S, 150.7167°E, 56m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Windy Clearing shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Rain Late thunder Late shower
    Minimum 18° 23° 21° 21° 22° 22° 19°
    Maximum 41° 31° 30° 33° 33° 34° 28°
    Chance of rain 50% 50% 40% 30% 90% 60% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		1
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		2
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		4
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NNW S ENE ESE E NE ENE SSE ENE WNW NW SE ESE
    Relative humidity 54% 16% 74% 48% 79% 52% 79% 47% 80% 49% 69% 39% 75% 50%
    Dew point 16°C 11°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 22°C 22°C 20°C 19°C 17°C 17°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Kirkham Rain Forecast

    Kirkham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Kirkham Rain Forecast

    Kirkham 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    4
    8
    6
    7
    8
    5
    6
    5
    3
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Kirkham Rain Forecast

    Kirkham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Kirkham Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18     		18.1 °C 24.4 °C
    5.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19     		18.1 °C 24.1 °C
    2.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20     		18.7 °C 30.6 °C
    6.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21     		15.1 °C 32.6 °C
    13.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22     		16.5 °C 35 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Kirkham minimum temp history (34.0385°S, 150.7167°E, 56m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 46.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 15.1° 21/01/2020
    Hottest on record 46.4 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 7.9 02/01/1972
    Hottest this year 46.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.1° 21/01/2020
    Long term average 29.5° Long term average 16.8°
    Average this month 29.4° Average this month 18.2°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.1° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 14.3° 1985
    Kirkham rainfall history (34.0385°S, 150.7167°E, 56m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.8mm 16/01/2020 Total This Month 77.2mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 84.1mm 10.5 days Wettest January on record 263.6mm 2017

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Kirkham Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 84.1mm 10.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 77.2mm 10.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 49.4mm 8.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 17.8mm Jan16
    Lowest Temperature 15.1°C Jan21
    Highest Temperature 46.2°C Jan 4

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Kirkham Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 28.6 26.8 23.8 20.6 17.7 17.3 19.0 21.9 24.3 26.3 28.5 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 16.8 16.8 14.9 11.1 7.1 4.6 3.0 3.9 6.8 9.9 13.0 15.2 10.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 84.1 96.9 89.3 68.5 53.5 67.0 37.6 46.0 39.6 61.2 75.8 56.8 777.3
    Mean Rain Days 10.5 11.0 10.5 10.0 8.9 9.3 8.5 8.0 8.3 9.6 10.3 9.2 105.2

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