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Forecast

Kingsgate (29.8118°S, 151.9983°E, 920m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Hazy 9° 30°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:24am EDT 5:50am EDT 7:27pm EDT 7:53pm EDT
    NOW
    22.9° Feels Like: 15.2°
    Relative Humidity: 15%
    Dew: -5.1°
    Wind: WNW 26km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.0hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Kingsgate
    Now
    23.1°c
    Feels Like:
    15.9°
    Wind:
    W 24km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    16%
    Hazy
     
    9°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Kingsgate
    Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm on and east of the ranges in the afternoon and early evening. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 36.
    Tomorrow
    Hazy
    9°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze, most likely in the morning. Slight chance of a shower and the chance of a thunderstorm on and east of the ranges in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 34.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm on and east of the ranges in the afternoon and early evening. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 36.

    Forecast for Kingsgate (29.8118°S, 151.9983°E, 920m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Hazy Hazy Hazy Hazy Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 9° 8° 8° 7° 10° 11° 12°
    Maximum 30° 27° 28° 31° 33° 33° 33°
    Chance of rain 20% 30% 20% 5% 10% 20% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)     		27
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		35
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW WNW NNW W E WNW NW W SW SSE ENE NE N NNW
    Relative humidity 21% 9% 47% 14% 55% 17% 47% 14% 27% 8% 42% 16% 42% 20%
    Dew point -0°C -6°C 9°C -2°C 9°C 1°C 8°C 0°C 4°C -5°C 9°C 4°C 11°C 8°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Kingsgate Rain Forecast

    Kingsgate 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 November to 26 November, 26 November to 30 November, and 7 December to 11 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 November to 28 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 16 December to 20 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 November to 26 November, 4 December to 8 December, and 8 December to 12 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Kingsgate Rain Forecast

    Kingsgate 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    2
    3
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    8
    6
    5
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Kingsgate Rain Forecast

    Kingsgate 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 November to 26 November, 26 November to 30 November, and 7 December to 11 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 November to 28 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 16 December to 20 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 November to 26 November, 4 December to 8 December, and 8 December to 12 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Kingsgate Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Nov 11     		2.1 °C 26.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12     		1.7 °C 29.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 13     		10.9 °C 26.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 14     		1.5 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 15     		2.6 °C 28 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Kingsgate minimum temp history (29.8118°S, 151.9983°E, 920m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.8° 12/11/2019 Coldest this month -0.6° 06/11/2019
    Hottest on record 35.2 23/11/2014 Coldest on record -1.1 02/11/2003
    Hottest this year 36.0° 19/01/2019 Coldest this year -12.3° 19/07/2019
    Long term average 23.2° Long term average 9.1°
    Average this month 25.0° Average this month 6.3°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.6° 2014 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 6.5° 1996
    Kingsgate rainfall history (29.8118°S, 151.9983°E, 920m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.6mm 04/11/2019 Total This Month 2.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 126.0mm 12.2 days Wettest November on record 264.8mm 2014

  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Kingsgate Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 801.0mm 127.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 278.6mm 91.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 480.2mm 113.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 45.0mm Mar 9
    Lowest Temperature -12.3°C Jul19
    Highest Temperature 36.0°C Jan19

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Kingsgate Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.4 25.7 24.0 20.7 16.9 13.8 13.2 14.8 18.3 21.2 23.2 24.9 20.3
    Mean Min (°C) 12.9 12.8 10.8 6.7 2.1 0.3 -1.0 -0.9 2.6 5.4 9.1 11.3 6.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 104.5 86.4 83.5 52.9 46.9 56.7 49.1 53.0 62.3 79.7 126.0 114.8 919.8
    Mean Rain Days 10.9 11.0 11.6 9.9 12.2 15.5 14.1 11.3 9.6 9.6 12.2 12.5 131.7

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