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Forecast

Kilgra (28.5549°S, 152.9751°E, 63m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 17° 35°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:18am EDT 5:44am EDT 7:24pm EDT 7:50pm EDT
    NOW
    23.8° Feels Like: 24.8°
    Relative Humidity: 74%
    Dew: 18.9°
    Wind: SSE 11km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Kilgra
    Now
    23.4°c
    Feels Like:
    24.9°
    Wind:
    E 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    81%
    Mostly sunny
     
    17°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Today in Kilgra
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze. Winds N/NE and light becoming N 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending N/NE 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    17°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds N 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Kilgra

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze. Winds N/NE and light becoming N 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending N/NE 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.

    Forecast for Kilgra (28.5549°S, 152.9751°E, 63m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Hazy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower Late shower
    Minimum 17° 14° 14° 16° 14° 15° 17°
    Maximum 35° 35° 36° 35° 34° 36° 32°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 50% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE N NE N NE NNE ENE NNE NE N N NNW ENE
    Relative humidity 60% 27% 52% 24% 53% 23% 55% 29% 52% 28% 53% 23% 57% 37%
    Dew point 18°C 14°C 15°C 12°C 15°C 12°C 16°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 16°C 13°C 18°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Kilgra Rain Forecast


    Kilgra 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 November to 2 December, 9 December to 13 December, and 15 December to 19 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, and 3 December to 7 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 12 December to 16 December, and 18 December to 22 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Kilgra Rain Forecast


    Kilgra 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    2
    4
    5
    6
    6
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Kilgra Rain Forecast


    Kilgra 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 November to 2 December, 9 December to 13 December, and 15 December to 19 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, and 3 December to 7 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 12 December to 16 December, and 18 December to 22 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Kilgra Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Nov 16
    17.4 °C 36.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17
    16.2 °C 33.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18
    13.3 °C 29.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    11.6 °C 36.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 20
    16.2 °C 36 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Kilgra minimum temp history (28.5549°S, 152.9751°E, 63m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.7° 08/11/2019 Coldest this month 6.6° 07/11/2019
    Hottest on record 44.1 15/11/2014 Coldest on record 6.0 17/11/2006
    Hottest this year 41.9° 13/02/2019 Coldest this year 0.0° 20/08/2019
    Long term average 28.8° Long term average 16.1°
    Average this month 32.9° Average this month 13.4°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.4° 2014 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 13.4° 2003
    Kilgra rainfall history (28.5549°S, 152.9751°E, 63m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/11/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 112.9mm 11.6 days Wettest November on record 250.0mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Kilgra Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 976.1mm 117.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 576.2mm 92.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 883.6mm 127.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 82.8mm Mar16
    Lowest Temperature 0.0°C Aug20
    Highest Temperature 41.9°C Feb13
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Kilgra Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.3 25.9 23.1 20.6 20.6 22.4 25.6 27.6 28.8 29.9 26.1
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 18.9 17.6 14.2 10.6 8.4 6.6 7.2 10.5 13.3 16.1 17.9 13.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 144.5 148.3 143.1 76.4 96.4 72.4 32.6 51.4 34.6 63.5 112.9 118.6 1099.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.4 12.2 14.1 11.8 11.4 12.6 8.9 7.5 7.2 8.0 11.6 12.0 126.7