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Forecast

Kilgin (29.0296°S, 153.3741°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 17° 32°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:14am EDT 5:41am EDT 7:32pm EDT 7:58pm EDT
    NOW
    20.7° Feels Like: 22.0°
    Relative Humidity: 84%
    Dew: 17.9°
    Wind: S 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Kilgin
    Now
    21.6°c
    Feels Like:
    23.2°
    Wind:
    S 6km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Mostly sunny
     
    17°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Kilgin
    Hot. Partly cloudy. Very slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 38.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    18°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the N. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h shifting S/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 39.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Kilgin

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Very slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 38.

    Forecast for Kilgin (29.0296°S, 153.3741°E, 2m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 18° 17° 16° 17° 19° 18°
    Maximum 32° 36° 27° 33° 33° 37° 31°
    Chance of rain 5% 70% 70% 80% 20% 70% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 20-40mm < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE ENE N SE SSW S N NNE NW NE NNW NW SW NE
    Relative humidity 68% 49% 61% 45% 83% 70% 72% 48% 70% 43% 46% 25% 62% 49%
    Dew point 18°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 18°C 15°C 13°C 17°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Kilgin Rain Forecast


    Kilgin 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Kilgin Rain Forecast


    Kilgin 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    5
    6
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 11

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is well underway in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters, with significant cooling observed during the last few months. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, increasing the confidence of La Niña influencing the outlook until at least the remainder of summer. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December or January, with all models predicting the event will last until January, 6 of 8 models to February and 5 of 8 to March. Given we have observed both the atmosphere and the oceans responding to La Nina, the models have strengthened the event, with around half of the models predicting a strong event. The 2010-2012 La Niña event is different to this year, due to the influence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in 2010-2012, which enhanced the rainfall across Australia. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral, which is likely tocontinue through to at least autumn. Two of six international models indicate a negative IOD during November, before becoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. La Niña increases the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. The remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia, except for parts of western WA and western TAS, where normal precipitation is expected. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Kilgin Rain Forecast


    Kilgin 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Kilgin Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Nov 26
    18.5 °C 27.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 27
    16.5 °C 28.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 28
    16.1 °C 31.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 29
    16.8 °C 38.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 30
    20.3 °C 25.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Kilgin minimum temp history (29.0296°S, 153.3741°E, 2m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.1° 14/11/2020 Coldest this month 14.0° 05/11/2020
    Hottest on record 41.0 25/12/2001 Coldest on record 12.4 07/12/2013
    Hottest this year 38.3° 19/02/2020 Coldest this year 4.9° 05/07/2020
    Long term average 26.6° Long term average 16.9°
    Average this month 28.3° Average this month 17.1°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.9° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 16.7° 1999
    Kilgin rainfall history (29.0296°S, 153.3741°E, 2m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 6.8mm 08/11/2020 Total This Month 11.6mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 129.1mm 12.7 days Wettest December on record 270.2mm 2010
    Driest on record 8.6mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Kilgin Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1444.7mm 138.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1569.6mm 140.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 780.0mm 119.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 199.8mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 4.9°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 38.3°C Feb19
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Kilgin Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.4 27.9 26.9 24.6 22.0 19.9 19.6 21.2 24.0 25.6 26.6 28.0 24.5
    Mean Min (°C) 19.9 19.8 18.9 16.4 13.3 11.3 10.2 10.8 13.3 15.0 16.9 18.6 15.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 168.0 168.2 209.2 169.3 105.9 189.8 75.4 89.8 54.0 86.0 129.1 97.1 1543.7
    Mean Rain Days 13.7 13.5 16.6 14.8 13.3 13.2 10.3 9.6 9.7 11.4 12.7 12.5 146.4