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Forecast

Keybarbin (29.15°S, 152.6°E, 73m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 17° 32°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:39am EDT 6:05am EDT 7:50pm EDT 8:17pm EDT
    NOW
    21.8° Feels Like: 19.3°
    Relative Humidity: 31%
    Dew: 3.9°
    Wind: SSW 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1117.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Keybarbin
    Now
    21.8°c
    Feels Like:
    19.3°
    Wind:
    SSW 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    31%
    Mostly sunny
     
    17°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Keybarbin
    Sunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    17°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Keybarbin

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.

    Forecast for Keybarbin (29.15°S, 152.6°E, 73m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Late thunder Possible shower Showers easing Showers increasing Late thunder Thunderstorms
    Minimum 17° 19° 22° 19° 17° 16° 17°
    Maximum 32° 32° 30° 27° 28° 31° 33°
    Chance of rain 10% 60% 70% 70% 60% 60% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW ENE NW ENE NW SSW SSW SSE SSW ESE NW E N E
    Relative humidity 61% 40% 73% 56% 80% 61% 81% 53% 71% 49% 70% 46% 68% 40%
    Dew point 16°C 16°C 20°C 20°C 22°C 20°C 19°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Keybarbin Rain Forecast


    Keybarbin 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 January to 31 January, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 February to 5 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Keybarbin Rain Forecast


    Keybarbin 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    9
    8
    6
    8
    8
    7
    7
    5
    6
    5
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Keybarbin Rain Forecast


    Keybarbin 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 January to 31 January, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 February to 5 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Keybarbin Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jan 12
    16.7 °C 29.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 13
    16.8 °C 29.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 14
    16.9 °C 31.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 15
    17.7 °C 35.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 16
    20.8 °C 30.7 °C
    3.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Keybarbin minimum temp history (29.15°S, 152.6°E, 73m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.4° 05/01/2021 Coldest this month 16.7° 11/01/2021
    Hottest on record 43.2 12/01/2002 Coldest on record 11.4 13/01/2005
    Hottest this year 35.4° 05/01/2021 Coldest this year 16.7° 11/01/2021
    Long term average 30.3° Long term average 19.1°
    Average this month 29.4° Average this month 18.9°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.7° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 16.7° 2003
    Keybarbin rainfall history (29.15°S, 152.6°E, 73m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 38.0mm 07/01/2021 Total This Month 70.4mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 144.5mm 12.4 days Wettest January on record 368.4mm 2008
    Driest on record 20.0mm 2003
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Keybarbin Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 144.5mm 12.4 day(s)
    Total For 2021 70.4mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 1134.2mm 116.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 38.0mm Jan 7
    Lowest Temperature 16.7°C Jan11
    Highest Temperature 35.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Keybarbin Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.3 25.9 23.1 20.6 20.6 22.4 25.6 27.6 28.8 29.9 26.1
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 18.9 17.6 14.2 10.6 8.4 6.6 7.2 10.5 13.3 16.1 17.9 13.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 144.5 148.3 143.1 76.4 96.4 72.4 32.6 51.4 34.6 63.5 112.9 118.6 1099.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.4 12.2 14.1 11.8 11.4 12.6 8.9 7.5 7.2 8.0 11.6 12.0 126.7