Forecast
Keybarbin (29.15°S, 152.6°E, 73m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW17° 32° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:39am EDT 6:05am EDT 7:50pm EDT 8:17pm EDT NOW21.8° Feels Like: 19.3° Relative Humidity: 31% Dew: 3.9° Wind: SSW 6km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1117.5hPa -
Today Weather
KeybarbinNow21.8°cFeels Like:19.3°Wind:SSW 6km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:31%17°Min32°MaxToday in KeybarbinSunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.Tomorrow17°Min32°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Keybarbin
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.
Forecast for Keybarbin (29.15°S, 152.6°E, 73m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 17° 19° 22° 19° 17° 16° 17° Maximum 32° 32° 30° 27° 28° 31° 33° Chance of rain 10% 60% 70% 70% 60% 60% 80% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 5
(km/h)14
(km/h)4
(km/h)16
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)17
(km/h)24
(km/h)8
(km/h)17
(km/h)6
(km/h)15
(km/h)6
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction SW ENE NW ENE NW SSW SSW SSE SSW ESE NW E N E Relative humidity 61% 40% 73% 56% 80% 61% 81% 53% 71% 49% 70% 46% 68% 40% Dew point 16°C 16°C 20°C 20°C 22°C 20°C 19°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Keybarbin Rain Forecast
Keybarbin 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT16
17
18
MEDIUM19
MEDIUM20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
HIGH23
HIGH24
HIGH25
LOW26
LOW27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
LOW30
31
Feb 1
2
3
LOW4
5
6
LOW7
LOW8
LOW9
LOW10
LOW11
HIGH12
MEDIUM13
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan16Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and the southeast Pacific.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 January to 31 January, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 February to 5 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Keybarbin Rain Forecast
Keybarbin 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021986887756555105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Keybarbin Rain Forecast
Keybarbin 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT16
17
18
MEDIUM19
MEDIUM20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
HIGH23
HIGH24
HIGH25
LOW26
LOW27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
LOW30
31
Feb 1
2
3
LOW4
5
6
LOW7
LOW8
LOW9
LOW10
LOW11
HIGH12
MEDIUM13
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan16Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and the southeast Pacific.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 January to 31 January, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 February to 5 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Keybarbin Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Jan 1216.7 °C 29.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 1316.8 °C 29.9 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Jan 1416.9 °C 31.7 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Jan 1517.7 °C 35.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Jan 1620.8 °C 30.7 °C 3.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Keybarbin minimum temp history (29.15°S, 152.6°E, 73m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.4° 05/01/2021 Coldest this month 16.7° 11/01/2021 Hottest on record 43.2 12/01/2002 Coldest on record 11.4 13/01/2005 Hottest this year 35.4° 05/01/2021 Coldest this year 16.7° 11/01/2021 Long term average 30.3° Long term average 19.1° Average this month 29.4° Average this month 18.9° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.7° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 16.7° 2003 Keybarbin rainfall history (29.15°S, 152.6°E, 73m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 38.0mm 07/01/2021 Total This Month 70.4mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 144.5mm 12.4 days Wettest January on record 368.4mm 2008 Driest on record 20.0mm 2003 -
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Year to Date
Keybarbin Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 144.5mm 12.4 day(s) Total For 2021 70.4mm 9.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 1134.2mm 116.0 day(s) Wettest Day 38.0mm Jan 7 Lowest Temperature 16.7°C Jan11 Highest Temperature 35.4°C Jan 5 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Keybarbin Climatology
Keybarbin Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.3 25.9 23.1 20.6 20.6 22.4 25.6 27.6 28.8 29.9 26.1 Mean Min (°C) 19.1 18.9 17.6 14.2 10.6 8.4 6.6 7.2 10.5 13.3 16.1 17.9 13.4 Mean Rain (mm) 144.5 148.3 143.1 76.4 96.4 72.4 32.6 51.4 34.6 63.5 112.9 118.6 1099.1 Mean Rain Days 12.4 12.2 14.1 11.8 11.4 12.6 8.9 7.5 7.2 8.0 11.6 12.0 126.7