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Forecast

Ketelghay (30.6666°S, 152.7666°E, 28m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 19° 29°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:10am EDT 5:37am EDT 7:37pm EDT 8:04pm EDT
    NOW
    19.5° Feels Like: 22.2°
    Relative Humidity: 90%
    Dew: 17.8°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ketelghay
    Now
    19.6°c
    Feels Like:
    22.5°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    92%
    Mostly sunny
     
    19°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Ketelghay
    Hot. Partly cloudy. Very slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then tending NW/NE 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 38.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    20°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm about the highlands. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming S/SE 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 33.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Very slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then tending NW/NE 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 38.

    Forecast for Ketelghay (30.6666°S, 152.7666°E, 28m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Windy Possible shower Late thunder Fog then sunny Late thunder Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 19° 20° 18° 18° 19° 22° 20°
    Maximum 29° 29° 24° 29° 30° 32° 28°
    Chance of rain 10% 50% 80% 70% 50% 60% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE SW SSW SSE ESE N NE NE ENE N E S ESE
    Relative humidity 75% 76% 80% 74% 79% 76% 82% 81% 83% 80% 70% 71% 68% 66%
    Dew point 19°C 24°C 23°C 21°C 17°C 20°C 21°C 24°C 22°C 26°C 23°C 24°C 18°C 21°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ketelghay Rain Forecast


    Ketelghay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ketelghay Rain Forecast


    Ketelghay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    8
    6
    6
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 11

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is well underway in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters, with significant cooling observed during the last few months. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, increasing the confidence of La Niña influencing the outlook until at least the remainder of summer. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December or January, with all models predicting the event will last until January, 6 of 8 models to February and 5 of 8 to March. Given we have observed both the atmosphere and the oceans responding to La Nina, the models have strengthened the event, with around half of the models predicting a strong event. The 2010-2012 La Niña event is different to this year, due to the influence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in 2010-2012, which enhanced the rainfall across Australia. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral, which is likely tocontinue through to at least autumn. Two of six international models indicate a negative IOD during November, before becoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. La Niña increases the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. The remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia, except for parts of western WA and western TAS, where normal precipitation is expected. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ketelghay Rain Forecast


    Ketelghay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ketelghay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Nov 26
    12.4 °C 29.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 27
    14.4 °C 28.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 28
    13.8 °C 32.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 29
    15.3 °C 40.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 30
    20.2 °C 24.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ketelghay minimum temp history (30.6666°S, 152.7666°E, 28m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.7° 14/11/2020 Coldest this month 9.0° 07/11/2020
    Hottest on record 42.3 01/12/2004 Coldest on record 7.6 21/12/2010
    Hottest this year 38.2° 21/01/2020 Coldest this year -1.6° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 26.9° Long term average 14.5°
    Average this month 27.3° Average this month 14.2°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.8° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 14.1° 2006
    Ketelghay rainfall history (30.6666°S, 152.7666°E, 28m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 27.6mm 06/11/2020 Total This Month 44.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 112.0mm 13.6 days Wettest December on record 200.4mm 2010
    Driest on record 25.2mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Ketelghay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1044.9mm 133.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1122.6mm 115.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 315.8mm 98.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 225.0mm Mar10
    Lowest Temperature -1.6°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 38.2°C Jan21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ketelghay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.3 28.8 27.4 25.2 22.4 20.2 19.9 21.6 24.4 25.8 26.9 28.2 25.0
    Mean Min (°C) 17.8 18.0 16.4 13.1 8.6 6.7 5.0 5.3 8.2 10.9 14.5 16.3 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 124.2 164.7 156.2 75.1 72.9 138.6 22.7 60.2 44.0 74.3 112.0 101.7 1149.8
    Mean Rain Days 14.1 14.2 15.6 13.6 11.9 12.8 9.8 8.3 9.1 10.2 13.6 14.2 142.1