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Forecast

Keiraville (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 20° 23°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:44am EDT 6:11am EDT 8:06pm EDT 8:34pm EDT
    NOW
    19.2° Feels Like: 14.4°
    Relative Humidity: 87%
    Dew: 17.0°
    Wind: S 37km/h
    Gust: 43km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Keiraville
    Now
    21.1°c
    Feels Like:
    20.6°
    Wind:
    S 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    77%
    Showers
     
    20°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Keiraville
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds S 20 to 30 km/h turning SE in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    18°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 21.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds S 20 to 30 km/h turning SE in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.

    Forecast for Keiraville (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Showers Showers Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 20° 18° 18° 20° 20° 20° 20°
    Maximum 23° 21° 22° 27° 24° 25° 26°
    Chance of rain 90% 70% 80% 50% 50% 80% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 37
    (km/h)     		40
    (km/h)     		30
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW SSW SSE SSE E E NNE NE SSW S E ENE NNE ESE
    Relative humidity 93% 83% 74% 77% 81% 86% 86% 81% 86% 86% 80% 74% 79% 76%
    Dew point 19°C 17°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 18°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 20°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Keiraville Rain Forecast

    Keiraville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Keiraville Rain Forecast

    Keiraville 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    10
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    3
    3
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Keiraville Rain Forecast

    Keiraville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Keiraville Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 23     		20.1 °C 26.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 24     		21.7 °C 26.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25     		21.4 °C 26.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26     		21.2 °C 35.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27     		19.5 °C 20.5 °C
    1.6 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Keiraville minimum temp history (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.0° 26/01/2021 Coldest this month 14.4° 21/01/2021
    Hottest on record 43.7 01/01/2006 Coldest on record 12.8 19/01/2010
    Hottest this year 35.0° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 14.4° 21/01/2021
    Long term average 25.0° Long term average 19.2°
    Average this month 24.4° Average this month 18.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.9° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 17.0° 2000
    Keiraville rainfall history (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 31.0mm 03/01/2021 Total This Month 71.4mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 81.4mm 12.1 days Wettest January on record 241.0mm 2013
    Driest on record 16.8mm 2009

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Keiraville Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 81.4mm 12.1 day(s)
    Total For 2021 71.4mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 64.0mm 11.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 31.0mm Jan 3
    Lowest Temperature 14.4°C Jan21
    Highest Temperature 35.0°C Jan26

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Keiraville Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.0 24.9 24.1 22.2 19.9 17.6 17.1 18.0 20.2 21.6 22.4 24.1 21.4
    Mean Min (°C) 19.2 19.2 18.2 15.7 13.1 11.1 10.1 10.5 12.4 14.1 15.8 17.6 14.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 81.4 137.6 131.1 105.9 62.3 119.4 77.0 93.8 54.8 77.8 94.4 76.1 1127.9
    Mean Rain Days 12.1 12.9 14.0 11.1 8.2 10.3 8.5 8.0 8.8 11.2 12.4 12.1 128.5

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