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Forecast

Keiraville (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 15° 22°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:13am EDT 5:41am EDT 7:43pm EDT 8:11pm EDT
    NOW
    16.8° Feels Like: 12.2°
    Relative Humidity: 76%
    Dew: 12.5°
    Wind: SSW 28km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Keiraville
    Now
    13.3°c
    Feels Like:
    12.8°
    Wind:
    S 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    15°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Keiraville
    Partly cloudy. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    16°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NW before dawn then tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 37.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.

    Forecast for Keiraville (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 15° 16° 18° 16° 16° 16° 19°
    Maximum 22° 27° 23° 23° 21° 25° 31°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 40% 60% 60% 30% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		28
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S E NNE NE SSW SSE S ESE SSW SSE NNE ENE NNW SSW
    Relative humidity 71% 72% 68% 69% 66% 77% 77% 81% 73% 78% 77% 76% 47% 64%
    Dew point 14°C 16°C 17°C 20°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 19°C 14°C 16°C 17°C 20°C 16°C 18°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Keiraville Rain Forecast

    Keiraville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Keiraville Rain Forecast

    Keiraville 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    4
    5
    5
    6
    4
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    1
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Keiraville Rain Forecast

    Keiraville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Keiraville Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Nov 15     		14.6 °C 29.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 16     		14.8 °C 20.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17     		15.4 °C 19.7 °C
    0.8 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18     		13.2 °C 27.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19     		17.8 °C 28 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Keiraville minimum temp history (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.6° 12/11/2019 Coldest this month 10.7° 06/11/2019
    Hottest on record 39.8 20/11/2015 Coldest on record 8.9 16/11/2006
    Hottest this year 35.9° 12/02/2019 Coldest this year 6.5° 21/06/2019
    Long term average 22.3° Long term average 15.8°
    Average this month 23.9° Average this month 14.5°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.4° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 14.0° 1999
    Keiraville rainfall history (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.4mm 04/11/2019 Total This Month 11.2mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 102.8mm 12.9 days Wettest November on record 253.6mm 2009

  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Keiraville Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1105.8mm 119.8 day(s)
    Total For 2019 821.2mm 93.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 575.4mm 96.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 75.2mm Aug30
    Lowest Temperature 6.5°C Jun21
    Highest Temperature 35.9°C Feb12

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Keiraville Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.9 24.8 24.0 22.1 19.8 17.7 16.9 18.0 20.1 21.7 22.3 24.0 21.3
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 19.2 18.2 15.6 13.1 11.2 10.1 10.6 12.5 14.0 15.8 17.5 14.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 83.2 140.0 133.0 118.7 85.6 129.7 81.3 98.3 57.3 75.9 102.8 76.5 1178.0
    Mean Rain Days 12.1 13.3 13.8 11.1 8.9 10.2 9.1 8.3 9.2 10.9 12.9 11.9 125.6

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