Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 11:01 AM EDT on Wednesday 27 January 2021
for the period until midnight EDT Thursday 28 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 27 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Enclosed Waters, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast and Batemans Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Eden Coast
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Enclosed Waters, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast and Illawarra Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EDT Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Keiraville (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY20° 23° Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:44am EDT 6:11am EDT 8:06pm EDT 8:34pm EDT NOW19.2° Feels Like: 14.4° Relative Humidity: 87% Dew: 17.0° Wind: S 37km/h Gust: 43km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
KeiravilleNow21.1°cFeels Like:20.6°Wind:S 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:77%20°Min23°MaxToday in KeiravilleCloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds S 20 to 30 km/h turning SE in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.Tomorrow18°Min21°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds S 20 to 30 km/h turning SE in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.
Forecast for Keiraville (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 20° 18° 18° 20° 20° 20° 20° Maximum 23° 21° 22° 27° 24° 25° 26° Chance of rain 90% 70% 80% 50% 50% 80% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 37
(km/h)40
(km/h)30
(km/h)26
(km/h)25
(km/h)22
(km/h)21
(km/h)20
(km/h)16
(km/h)20
(km/h)13
(km/h)19
(km/h)17
(km/h)17
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SSW SSE SSE E E NNE NE SSW S E ENE NNE ESE Relative humidity 93% 83% 74% 77% 81% 86% 86% 81% 86% 86% 80% 74% 79% 76% Dew point 19°C 17°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 18°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 20°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Keiraville Rain Forecast
Keiraville 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
HIGH28
MEDIUM29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMFeb 1
HIGH2
HIGH3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
LOW6
MEDIUM7
HIGH8
LOW9
LOW10
11
MEDIUM12
13
14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
MEDIUM21
LOW22
MEDIUM23
LOW24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Keiraville Rain Forecast
Keiraville 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec20211077777866334105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Keiraville Rain Forecast
Keiraville 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
HIGH28
MEDIUM29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMFeb 1
HIGH2
HIGH3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
LOW6
MEDIUM7
HIGH8
LOW9
LOW10
11
MEDIUM12
13
14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
MEDIUM21
LOW22
MEDIUM23
LOW24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Keiraville Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Jan 2320.1 °C 26.5 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2421.7 °C 26.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2521.4 °C 26.9 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2621.2 °C 35.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2719.5 °C 20.5 °C 1.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Keiraville minimum temp history (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.0° 26/01/2021 Coldest this month 14.4° 21/01/2021 Hottest on record 43.7 01/01/2006 Coldest on record 12.8 19/01/2010 Hottest this year 35.0° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 14.4° 21/01/2021 Long term average 25.0° Long term average 19.2° Average this month 24.4° Average this month 18.1° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.9° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 17.0° 2000 Keiraville rainfall history (34.4146°S, 150.8722°E, 58m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 31.0mm 03/01/2021 Total This Month 71.4mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 81.4mm 12.1 days Wettest January on record 241.0mm 2013 Driest on record 16.8mm 2009 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
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Year to Date
Keiraville Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 81.4mm 12.1 day(s) Total For 2021 71.4mm 9.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 64.0mm 11.0 day(s) Wettest Day 31.0mm Jan 3 Lowest Temperature 14.4°C Jan21 Highest Temperature 35.0°C Jan26 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Keiraville Climatology
Keiraville Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.0 24.9 24.1 22.2 19.9 17.6 17.1 18.0 20.2 21.6 22.4 24.1 21.4 Mean Min (°C) 19.2 19.2 18.2 15.7 13.1 11.1 10.1 10.5 12.4 14.1 15.8 17.6 14.7 Mean Rain (mm) 81.4 137.6 131.1 105.9 62.3 119.4 77.0 93.8 54.8 77.8 94.4 76.1 1127.9 Mean Rain Days 12.1 12.9 14.0 11.1 8.2 10.3 8.5 8.0 8.8 11.2 12.4 12.1 128.5