Forecast
Keajura (35.3305°S, 147.6501°E, 269m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY18° 33° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:55am EDT 6:23am EDT 8:22pm EDT 8:50pm EDT NOW20.9° Feels Like: Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 20.9° Wind: Gust: Rainfall since 9am: 2.2mm Pressure: 1010.2hPa -
Today Weather
KeajuraNow19.0°cFeels Like:21.2°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:86%18°Min33°MaxToday in KeajuraSunny. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.Tomorrow17°Min24°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the NW. Winds E 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 33. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Keajura
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.
Forecast for Keajura (35.3305°S, 147.6501°E, 269m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 18° 17° 16° 18° 18° 19° 18° Maximum 33° 24° 25° 30° 32° 31° 28° Chance of rain 40% 70% 80% 70% 30% 90% 60% Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm 20-40mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)22
(km/h)31
(km/h)32
(km/h)32
(km/h)30
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)23
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)Wind direction NE ENE E E ENE ENE NE NW ENE NW ENE NNE NW W Relative humidity 90% 45% 57% 59% 70% 69% 77% 59% 72% 44% 65% 44% 68% 42% Dew point 20°C 18°C 12°C 14°C 14°C 17°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 17°C 15°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Keajura Rain Forecast
Keajura 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
HIGH29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
Feb 1
HIGH2
LOW3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
8
9
10
11
12
13
LOW14
LOW15
16
17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
23
24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan26Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 26 February to 2 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Keajura Rain Forecast
Keajura 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021988668855787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Keajura Rain Forecast
Keajura 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
HIGH29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
Feb 1
HIGH2
LOW3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
8
9
10
11
12
13
LOW14
LOW15
16
17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
23
24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan26Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 26 February to 2 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Keajura Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Jan 2219.7 °C 37.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Jan 2312.3 °C 38.7 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2417.9 °C 40.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2522.7 °C 40.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2624.2 °C 27.7 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Keajura minimum temp history (35.3305°S, 147.6501°E, 269m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 40.8° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 8.3° 17/01/2021 Hottest on record 44.8 23/01/2001 Coldest on record 3.4 13/01/1975 Hottest this year 40.8° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 8.3° 17/01/2021 Long term average 31.9° Long term average 16.4° Average this month 32.0° Average this month 16.1° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.8° 1979 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.2° 1987 Keajura rainfall history (35.3305°S, 147.6501°E, 269m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 10.6mm 07/01/2021 Total This Month 15.8mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 40.4mm 5.4 days Wettest January on record 174.4mm 1984 Driest on record 0.0mm 1957 -
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Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
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Year to Date
Keajura Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 40.4mm 5.4 day(s) Total For 2021 15.8mm 2.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 12.8mm 8.0 day(s) Wettest Day 10.6mm Jan 7 Lowest Temperature 8.3°C Jan17 Highest Temperature 40.8°C Jan24 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Keajura Climatology
Keajura Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.9 31.0 27.7 22.6 17.4 13.9 12.8 14.5 17.7 21.7 26.0 29.6 22.2 Mean Min (°C) 16.4 16.5 13.5 9.2 5.9 3.7 2.8 3.5 5.1 7.8 11.0 14.0 9.1 Mean Rain (mm) 40.4 40.4 45.0 39.7 50.6 50.9 53.8 52.1 49.2 56.9 47.4 46.3 574.3 Mean Rain Days 5.4 5.3 5.6 6.8 9.6 12.3 14.6 13.4 10.5 9.4 7.5 6.2 106.6