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Forecast

Karabar (35.372°S, 149.2334°E, 590m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 12° 35°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:12am EDT 5:42am EDT 8:03pm EDT 8:33pm EDT
    NOW
    12.9° Feels Like: 11.6°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 11.6°
    Wind: SE 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Karabar
    Now
    13.1°c
    Feels Like:
    13.5°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    12°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Today in Karabar
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Severe thunderstorms are possible. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE 25 to 40 km/h early in the morning then tending W/NW 35 to 50 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 37.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    12°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the SE. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h shifting E 15 to 25 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Karabar

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Severe thunderstorms are possible. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE 25 to 40 km/h early in the morning then tending W/NW 35 to 50 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 37.

    Forecast for Karabar (35.372°S, 149.2334°E, 590m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 12° 11° 11° 10°
    Maximum 35° 25° 26° 28° 27° 21° 23°
    Chance of rain 50% 20% 5% 10% 80% 40% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNW NW N ENE NW WNW WNW NE NW WNW WNW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 66% 39% 48% 31% 71% 38% 47% 22% 61% 44% 60% 44% 56% 37%
    Dew point 14°C 18°C 6°C 6°C 11°C 10°C 7°C 3°C 11°C 12°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Karabar Rain Forecast


    Karabar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    HIGH
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Karabar Rain Forecast


    Karabar 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    8
    6
    4
    4
    3
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 11

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is well underway in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters, with significant cooling observed during the last few months. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, increasing the confidence of La Niña influencing the outlook until at least the remainder of summer. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December or January, with all models predicting the event will last until January, 6 of 8 models to February and 5 of 8 to March. Given we have observed both the atmosphere and the oceans responding to La Nina, the models have strengthened the event, with around half of the models predicting a strong event. The 2010-2012 La Niña event is different to this year, due to the influence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in 2010-2012, which enhanced the rainfall across Australia. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral, which is likely tocontinue through to at least autumn. Two of six international models indicate a negative IOD during November, before becoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. La Niña increases the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. The remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia, except for parts of western WA and western TAS, where normal precipitation is expected. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Karabar Rain Forecast


    Karabar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    HIGH
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov30

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 December to 9 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 December to 9 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 23 December to 27 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 December to 9 December, 13 December to 17 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Karabar Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Nov 26
    11.5 °C 30.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 27
    13.3 °C 31.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 28
    14.9 °C 35.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 29
    16.8 °C 27.8 °C
    3.4 mm
    Monday
    Nov 30
    13.6 °C 23.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Karabar minimum temp history (35.372°S, 149.2334°E, 590m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.7° 15/11/2020 Coldest this month 4.0° 06/11/2020
    Hottest on record 39.2 21/12/1994 Coldest on record 0.3 06/12/2012
    Hottest this year 44.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -4.9° 05/06/2020
    Long term average 22.9° Long term average 8.8°
    Average this month 25.1° Average this month 10.4°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.7° 1972 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.3° 1956
    Karabar rainfall history (35.372°S, 149.2334°E, 590m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 21.4mm 01/11/2020 Total This Month 93.0mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 64.6mm 9.7 days Wettest December on record 215.2mm 1947
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1967
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Karabar Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 562.2mm 101.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 748.6mm 114.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 357.4mm 79.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 60.4mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature -4.9°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 44.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Karabar Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.1 27.1 24.5 20.0 15.6 12.3 11.4 13.1 16.3 19.5 22.9 26.2 19.7
    Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.1 10.7 6.6 3.0 1.0 -0.1 1.0 3.2 6.0 8.8 11.4 6.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 57.6 58.4 52.7 45.0 42.9 40.9 40.9 45.7 52.1 61.4 64.6 56.0 618.0
    Mean Rain Days 7.3 7.0 7.1 7.4 8.5 10.9 11.5 11.4 10.3 10.2 9.7 8.0 109.0