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Forecast

Kalaru (36.736°S, 149.9396°E, 28m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Heavy rain 14°
    heavy rain
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:43am EST 7:11am EST 5:02pm EST 5:31pm EST
    NOW
    10.3° Feels Like: 8.6°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 10.1°
    Wind: SSW 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 23.4mm
    Pressure: 1019.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Kalaru
    Now
    10.6°c
    Feels Like:
    9.0°
    Wind:
    SW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Heavy rain
     
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Kalaru
    Cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible. Winds SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 14.
    Tomorrow
    Heavy rain
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible. Winds SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 14.

    Forecast for Kalaru (36.736°S, 149.9396°E, 28m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Heavy rain Showers easing Possible shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Frost then sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 14° 16° 16° 16° 17° 18° 20°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 80% 50% 30% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Slight Slight High Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S SSE SW SSW SW SW SW SW WSW SSE NNW NE NW NNE
    Relative humidity 94% 92% 88% 79% 82% 73% 80% 71% 76% 67% 73% 68% 71% 59%
    Dew point 11°C 12°C 8°C 11°C 6°C 10°C 5°C 10°C 6°C 10°C 5°C 12°C 6°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Kalaru Rain Forecast


    Kalaru 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    HIGH
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 July to 22 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 14 August to 18 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 August to 8 August, 8 August to 12 August, and 13 August to 17 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 July to 21 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 14 August to 18 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Kalaru Rain Forecast


    Kalaru 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    10
    6
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Kalaru Rain Forecast


    Kalaru 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    HIGH
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 July to 22 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 14 August to 18 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 August to 8 August, 8 August to 12 August, and 13 August to 17 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 July to 21 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 14 August to 18 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Kalaru Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jul 08
    5.3 °C 16.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 09
    0.2 °C 18.5 °C
    0.4 mm
    Friday
    Jul 10
    1.6 °C 18.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 11
    -0.6 °C 16.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 12
    3.3 °C 13.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Kalaru minimum temp history (36.736°S, 149.9396°E, 28m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.7° 01/07/2020 Coldest this month -1.2° 03/07/2020
    Hottest on record 26.3 22/07/2016 Coldest on record -4.3 12/07/2002
    Hottest this year 38.9° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.7° 28/06/2020
    Long term average 16.4° Long term average 2.4°
    Average this month 17.0° Average this month 3.5°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.9° 2002 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 0.3° 1994
    Kalaru rainfall history (36.736°S, 149.9396°E, 28m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.8mm 04/07/2020 Total This Month 1.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 41.3mm 10.2 days Wettest July on record 183.8mm 2001
    Driest on record 2.8mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Kalaru Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 411.7mm 75.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 261.8mm 61.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 326.8mm 72.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 80.0mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature -2.7°C Jun28
    Highest Temperature 38.9°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Kalaru Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.2 26.5 24.8 22.3 19.4 16.7 16.4 17.9 20.2 22.0 23.5 25.0 21.8
    Mean Min (°C) 15.0 15.0 12.9 9.3 5.7 3.7 2.4 3.1 6.1 8.4 11.4 13.4 8.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 54.1 86.2 80.1 36.6 42.1 71.3 41.3 35.4 37.7 47.6 68.8 65.0 667.2
    Mean Rain Days 10.1 9.5 11.7 10.7 11.2 12.0 10.2 8.7 9.9 10.5 11.4 9.3 120.0