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Forecast

Kahibah (32.9618°S, 151.7124°E, 106m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 11° 20°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:18am EST 6:45am EST 4:55pm EST 5:22pm EST
    NOW
    16.4° Feels Like: 13.0°
    Relative Humidity: 87%
    Dew: 14.2°
    Wind: S 24km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.6mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Kahibah
    Now
    16.3°c
    Feels Like:
    16.1°
    Wind:
    WSW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    92%
    Possible shower
     
    11°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Kahibah
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog early this morning. High chance of showers along the coastal fringe, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast this morning. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    11°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Kahibah

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of fog early this morning. High chance of showers along the coastal fringe, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast this morning. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.

    Forecast for Kahibah (32.9618°S, 151.7124°E, 106m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible shower Fog then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 11° 10° 11°
    Maximum 20° 21° 21° 22° 18° 18° 19°
    Chance of rain 80% 5% 10% 40% 40% 60% 60%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW S NW E NNW NNW NNW NNW WNW WSW WSW SSW SW S
    Relative humidity 76% 82% 88% 71% 90% 70% 82% 63% 76% 63% 77% 67% 80% 73%
    Dew point 14°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 13°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Kahibah Rain Forecast


    Kahibah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 June to 24 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 29 June to 3 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 June to 12 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 June to 12 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 29 June to 3 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Kahibah Rain Forecast


    Kahibah 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    4
    6
    8
    7
    8
    8
    7
    6
    3
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Kahibah Rain Forecast


    Kahibah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 June to 24 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 29 June to 3 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 June to 12 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 June to 12 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 29 June to 3 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Kahibah Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    May 25
    8.6 °C 16.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    May 26
    12.2 °C 20.2 °C
    33.2 mm
    Wednesday
    May 27
    10.7 °C 19.8 °C
    1.4 mm
    Thursday
    May 28
    9.8 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    May 29
    - -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Kahibah minimum temp history (32.9618°S, 151.7124°E, 106m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.7° 08/05/2020 Coldest this month 4.2° 11/05/2020
    Hottest on record 28.8 04/05/2007 Coldest on record 3.5 31/05/2007
    Hottest this year 44.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 4.2° 11/05/2020
    Long term average 21.1° Long term average 10.5°
    Average this month 20.2° Average this month 9.6°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.5° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 8.6° 2004
    Kahibah rainfall history (32.9618°S, 151.7124°E, 106m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 33.2mm 26/05/2020 Total This Month 70.9mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 90.3mm 11.2 days Wettest May on record 303.2mm 2001
    Driest on record 11.2mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Kahibah Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 575.6mm 57.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 558.3mm 59.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 228.9mm 28.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 75.0mm Feb 9
    Lowest Temperature 4.2°C May11
    Highest Temperature 44.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Kahibah Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.2 28.3 26.7 23.9 21.1 18.4 17.8 19.7 22.6 24.8 26.0 27.8 23.9
    Mean Min (°C) 19.4 19.4 17.4 13.9 10.5 8.7 7.5 8.0 10.8 13.3 15.9 17.8 13.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.6 137.0 123.2 135.5 90.3 123.7 60.1 59.2 69.1 58.4 113.5 68.6 1128.7
    Mean Rain Days 10.6 12.2 11.8 11.3 11.2 12.6 11.2 9.2 8.3 8.8 11.8 10.4 117.7