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Forecast

Jones Creek (35.0349°S, 148.0748°E, 268m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 11° 28°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:55am EDT 7:20am EDT 7:02pm EDT 7:27pm EDT
    NOW
    19.0° Feels Like: 17.3°
    Relative Humidity: 51%
    Dew: 8.6°
    Wind: SW 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Jones Creek
    Now
    17.3°c
    Feels Like:
    16.4°
    Wind:
    SSE 6km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    66%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Jones Creek
    Mostly sunny day. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the late afternoon and evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 29.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Jones Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny day. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the late afternoon and evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 29.

    Forecast for Jones Creek (35.0349°S, 148.0748°E, 268m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Rain Clearing shower Showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 17° 16° 14°
    Maximum 28° 24° 22° 19° 18° 19° 21°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 90% 40% 50% 20% 20%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 10-20mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E NE NE N NE NE WNW W W W WSW WSW S SW
    Relative humidity 84% 42% 90% 83% 92% 85% 88% 60% 72% 56% 71% 55% 72% 50%
    Dew point 14°C 14°C 17°C 20°C 18°C 19°C 13°C 11°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Jones Creek Rain Forecast


    Jones Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    Apr 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 April to 26 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 3 May to 7 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 April to 23 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 April to 26 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 3 May to 7 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Jones Creek Rain Forecast


    Jones Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    10
    6
    6
    7
    7
    5
    6
    4
    10
    5
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Jones Creek Rain Forecast


    Jones Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    Apr 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 April to 26 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 3 May to 7 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 April to 23 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 April to 26 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 3 May to 7 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Jones Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 27
    11.0 °C 26.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    12.0 °C 25.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    12.5 °C 28.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 30
    17.5 °C 27.0 °C
    4.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    11.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Jones Creek minimum temp history (35.0349°S, 148.0748°E, 268m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.6° 01/03/2020 Coldest this month 7.5° 15/03/2020
    Hottest on record 39.4 13/03/1998 Coldest on record 3.6 25/03/2012
    Hottest this year 45.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 7.5° 15/03/2020
    Long term average 27.9° Long term average 13.4°
    Average this month 26.8° Average this month 13.3°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.4° 2016 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 11.3° 2005
    Jones Creek rainfall history (35.0349°S, 148.0748°E, 268m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 42.3mm 05/03/2020 Total This Month 72.1mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 49.3mm 6.0 days Wettest March on record 176.4mm 2012
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2004
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Jones Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 140.8mm 18.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 171.4mm 13.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 129.4mm 25.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 43.6mm Feb11
    Lowest Temperature 7.5°C Mar15
    Highest Temperature 45.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Jones Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.6 31.2 27.9 23.0 17.8 13.9 12.9 15.0 18.4 22.4 26.6 29.8 22.7
    Mean Min (°C) 16.6 16.7 13.4 8.6 4.9 3.5 2.7 3.1 5.4 8.0 12.0 14.0 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 40.5 51.0 49.3 31.9 42.2 65.6 65.9 57.4 61.6 52.0 68.1 58.6 644.7
    Mean Rain Days 6.0 6.1 6.0 5.5 8.7 16.2 18.6 13.0 10.6 8.7 7.8 7.1 107.1