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Forecast

Jones Creek (35.0349°S, 148.0748°E, 268m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 12°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:34am EST 7:00am EST 5:28pm EST 5:54pm EST
    NOW
    9.2° Feels Like: 7.0°
    Relative Humidity: 84%
    Dew: 6.6°
    Wind: SW 7km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Jones Creek
    Now
    10.5°c
    Feels Like:
    4.1°
    Wind:
    W 32km/h
    Gusts:
    46km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Jones Creek
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Snow falling above 900 metres. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 6 and 11.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Snow falling above 1400 metres. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 8 and 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Snow falling above 900 metres. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 6 and 11.

    Forecast for Jones Creek (35.0349°S, 148.0748°E, 268m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible shower Clearing shower Mostly cloudy Fog then sunny Fog then sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 12° 13° 13° 13° 15° 14° 17°
    Chance of rain 50% 60% 30% 10% 10% 40% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Moderate Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 25
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW ESE ENE E NNE NE NNW
    Relative humidity 91% 80% 92% 78% 92% 75% 88% 70% 88% 63% 80% 73% 86% 64%
    Dew point 4°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Jones Creek Rain Forecast


    Jones Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    HIGH
    Sep 1
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 2 September to 6 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 18 August to 22 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Jones Creek Rain Forecast


    Jones Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    6
    8
    7
    8
    6
    7
    10
    7
    5
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Jones Creek Rain Forecast


    Jones Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    HIGH
    Sep 1
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 August to 13 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 2 September to 6 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August, 3 September to 7 September, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 August to 13 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 18 August to 22 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

    Jones Creek Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Jones Creek

  13. Past 5 Days

    Jones Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jul 31
    4.4 °C 18.0 °C
    1.2 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 01
    6.0 °C 14.6 °C
    0.4 mm
    Monday
    Aug 02
    -0.8 °C 15.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 03
    1.8 °C 13.0 °C
    4.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 04
    6.0 °C -
    5.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Jones Creek minimum temp history (35.0349°S, 148.0748°E, 268m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 14.6° 01/08/2021 Coldest this month -0.8° 02/08/2021
    Hottest on record 25.9 25/08/1995 Coldest on record -4.8 02/08/1999
    Hottest this year 39.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -2.5° 03/06/2021
    Long term average 14.9° Long term average 3.1°
    Average this month 14.6° Average this month 2.6°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.1° 2011 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 1.7° 2006
    Jones Creek rainfall history (35.0349°S, 148.0748°E, 268m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 5.0mm 04/08/2021 Total This Month 5.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 56.5mm 13.0 days Wettest August on record 108.5mm 2000
    Driest on record 14.6mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Jones Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 394.2mm 77.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 521.8mm 59.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 391.5mm 54.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 47.2mm Feb 6
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Jun 3
    Highest Temperature 39.5°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Jones Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.8 31.2 27.9 23.2 17.9 14.1 13.1 14.9 18.5 22.7 26.7 30.0 22.8
    Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.5 13.3 8.8 4.9 3.2 2.6 3.1 5.3 8.2 11.8 14.3 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 41.6 49.6 51.3 30.2 39.5 63.9 61.6 56.5 59.2 52.0 66.9 59.7 615.6
    Mean Rain Days 6.1 5.7 6.3 5.3 8.9 14.7 17.5 13.0 10.4 8.6 7.8 7.0 109.5