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Forecast

Jacks Creek (30.4547°S, 149.7399°E, 258m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible thunderstorm 13° 29°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:51am EDT 6:16am EDT 7:16pm EDT 7:40pm EDT
    NOW
    22.1° Feels Like: 20.5°
    Relative Humidity: 44%
    Dew: 9.3°
    Wind: SE 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Jacks Creek
    Now
    20.9°c
    Feels Like:
    17.4°
    Wind:
    SE 15km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    41%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    13°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Jacks Creek
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe in the W. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 30.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    13°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon then becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Jacks Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, possibly severe in the W. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 30.

    Forecast for Jacks Creek (30.4547°S, 149.7399°E, 258m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Late shower Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 14° 14° 16° 14° 12° 11°
    Maximum 29° 28° 32° 25° 25° 26° 27°
    Chance of rain 70% 40% 60% 80% 80% 70% 80%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NNE NE NNE NE NNE NNE N NW WNW SE SW SSE SSW
    Relative humidity 48% 40% 66% 49% 58% 40% 76% 68% 73% 57% 72% 53% 64% 44%
    Dew point 10°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 15°C 15°C 13°C 15°C 12°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Jacks Creek Rain Forecast


    Jacks Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 18 November to 22 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Jacks Creek Rain Forecast


    Jacks Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2020
    2021
    7
    9
    8
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 8

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Negative SAM status: Positive La Niña thresholds have been met due to continued cooling in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters in the last month. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, with the current Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.68 and the Southern Oscillation Index is +9.5, now well over the La Niña threshold of +7. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December, with all eight models predicting the event will last until January and 5 of 8 models to February. During this month’s model run, the strength of the La Niña event has increased since last month, however at this stage the event is not expected to be as strong as the 2010-2012 La Niña. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase, which is likely to continue through October. Three of six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of November, beforebecoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. The combination of La Niña and negative IOD conditions increase the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia. However, normal to below normal precipitation is forecast for parts of western WA and western TAS. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Jacks Creek Rain Forecast


    Jacks Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 18 November to 22 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Jacks Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Oct 16
    12.1 °C 31.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Oct 17
    14.9 °C 33.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 18
    19.2 °C 23.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 19
    11.7 °C 25.7 °C
    8.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 20
    13.7 °C 29.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Jacks Creek minimum temp history (30.4547°S, 149.7399°E, 258m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.5° 17/10/2020 Coldest this month 6.2° 10/10/2020
    Hottest on record 40.8 26/10/2014 Coldest on record 2.1 08/10/2009
    Hottest this year 42.7° 02/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.5° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 28.2° Long term average 12.0°
    Average this month 28.6° Average this month 11.8°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.2° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 9.9° 2012
    Jacks Creek rainfall history (30.4547°S, 149.7399°E, 258m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.4mm 19/10/2020 Total This Month 14.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 34.5mm 6.5 days Wettest October on record 59.6mm 2016
    Driest on record 3.6mm 2002
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Jacks Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 441.8mm 66.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 524.0mm 68.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 145.0mm 29.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 72.8mm Feb 9
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 42.7°C Jan 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Jacks Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.6 33.6 30.8 26.9 22.5 18.3 17.8 19.9 23.9 28.2 31.2 33.0 26.7
    Mean Min (°C) 20.2 19.6 16.6 12.3 7.4 5.9 4.1 4.8 8.1 12.0 16.3 18.4 12.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 75.3 58.8 59.6 28.9 25.3 57.2 33.4 32.4 36.4 34.5 74.9 75.6 590.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.3 7.4 7.4 5.1 4.8 9.3 7.1 5.2 6.1 6.5 8.5 9.1 77.9