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Forecast

Illabo (34.8148°S, 147.7407°E, 263m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 14° 25°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:19am EDT 6:45am EDT 7:58pm EDT 8:24pm EDT
    NOW
    22.3° Feels Like: 15.5°
    Relative Humidity: 39%
    Dew: 7.7°
    Wind: WSW 32km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1007.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Illabo
    Now
    21.9°c
    Feels Like:
    15.1°
    Wind:
    WSW 33km/h
    Gusts:
    37km/h
    Humidity:
    42%
    Mostly sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Illabo
    Partly cloudy. Areas of raised dust possible. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SW 25 to 35 km/h during the day. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    10°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Illabo

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of raised dust possible. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SW 25 to 35 km/h during the day. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Illabo (34.8148°S, 147.7407°E, 263m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Increasing sunshine Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower
    Minimum 14° 10° 12° 15° 16° 17° 18°
    Maximum 25° 27° 29° 31° 31° 31° 34°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% 10% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW WSW WSW S W E ENE E NNE NE NW NNE WNW
    Relative humidity 68% 40% 61% 29% 66% 27% 64% 31% 66% 35% 67% 42% 58% 34%
    Dew point 10°C 9°C 6°C 6°C 10°C 8°C 12°C 11°C 14°C 13°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Illabo Rain Forecast


    Illabo 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 February to 2 March, 5 March to 9 March, and 11 March to 15 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 28 February to 3 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 February to 2 March, 5 March to 9 March, and 11 March to 15 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Illabo Rain Forecast


    Illabo 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    7
    6
    6
    8
    7
    6
    5
    1
    7
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Illabo Rain Forecast


    Illabo 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 February to 2 March, 5 March to 9 March, and 11 March to 15 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 28 February to 3 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 February to 2 March, 5 March to 9 March, and 11 March to 15 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Illabo Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Feb 15
    20.0 °C 32.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 16
    19.2 °C 31.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 17
    18.8 °C 33.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    20.9 °C 33.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    - -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Illabo minimum temp history (34.8148°S, 147.7407°E, 263m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.7° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 10.6° 09/02/2020
    Hottest on record 43.0 25/02/2016 Coldest on record 0.0 22/02/2014
    Hottest this year 45.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 10.0° 25/01/2020
    Long term average 30.6° Long term average 15.6°
    Average this month 30.4° Average this month 18.6°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.8° 1997 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 10.7° 1996
    Illabo rainfall history (34.8148°S, 147.7407°E, 263m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.2mm 10/02/2020 Total This Month 32.7mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 57.3mm 5.6 days Wettest February on record 201.0mm 2012
    Driest on record 1.8mm 1997
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Illabo Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 99.0mm 11.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 88.8mm 14.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 71.1mm 14.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 31.6mm Jan20
    Lowest Temperature 10.0°C Jan25
    Highest Temperature 45.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Illabo Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.0 30.6 27.3 22.6 17.6 13.9 12.9 14.7 18.2 22.3 26.4 29.3 22.4
    Mean Min (°C) 15.9 15.6 12.2 7.3 3.4 2.3 1.3 1.5 3.5 6.0 10.3 12.8 7.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 41.7 57.3 51.3 34.1 35.6 63.4 61.4 57.0 55.5 44.9 58.5 52.4 611.9
    Mean Rain Days 6.1 5.6 6.5 5.1 7.4 11.9 13.7 11.5 9.1 7.7 7.7 6.6 92.5