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Forecast

Horse Station Creek (28.626°S, 152.9648°E, 82m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 23°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:55am EST 6:19am EST 5:25pm EST 5:50pm EST
    NOW
    15.7° Feels Like: 12.7°
    Relative Humidity: 54%
    Dew: 6.4°
    Wind: W 11km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1011.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Horse Station Creek
    Now
    16.6°c
    Feels Like:
    10.7°
    Wind:
    W 26km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    51%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Horse Station Creek
    Sunny. Light winds becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Horse Station Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Light winds becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.

    Forecast for Horse Station Creek (28.626°S, 152.9648°E, 82m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 10°
    Maximum 23° 22° 24° 26° 23° 22° 21°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 30% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W W SSW NW N NW WNW W WNW WNW WNW W W
    Relative humidity 60% 29% 55% 25% 56% 28% 47% 21% 43% 23% 49% 23% 46% 22%
    Dew point 9°C 3°C 6°C 1°C 5°C 4°C 8°C 1°C 4°C -0°C 4°C -1°C 3°C -2°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Horse Station Creek Rain Forecast


    Horse Station Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 8 September to 12 September, and 16 September to 20 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 14 September to 18 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 August to 25 August, 7 September to 11 September, and 14 September to 18 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Horse Station Creek Rain Forecast


    Horse Station Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    7
    7
    7
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Horse Station Creek Rain Forecast


    Horse Station Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 8 September to 12 September, and 16 September to 20 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 14 September to 18 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 August to 25 August, 7 September to 11 September, and 14 September to 18 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Horse Station Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Aug 11
    6.5 °C 21.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 12
    7.5 °C 24.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 13
    8.2 °C 28.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 14
    7.7 °C 26.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 15
    14.4 °C 25.3 °C
    12.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Horse Station Creek minimum temp history (28.626°S, 152.9648°E, 82m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.0° 13/08/2020 Coldest this month 2.5° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 36.3 24/08/2009 Coldest on record -3.5 08/08/1995
    Hottest this year 39.8° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 1.4° 05/07/2020
    Long term average 22.4° Long term average 7.2°
    Average this month 22.8° Average this month 7.4°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.2° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 4.9° 2008
    Horse Station Creek rainfall history (28.626°S, 152.9648°E, 82m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.0mm 15/08/2020 Total This Month 16.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 51.4mm 7.5 days Wettest August on record 196.4mm 2014
    Driest on record 0.8mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Horse Station Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 765.1mm 90.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 622.8mm 78.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 525.0mm 83.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 89.0mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 1.4°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 39.8°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Horse Station Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.3 25.9 23.1 20.6 20.6 22.4 25.6 27.6 28.8 29.9 26.1
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 18.9 17.6 14.2 10.6 8.4 6.6 7.2 10.5 13.3 16.1 17.9 13.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 144.5 148.3 143.1 76.4 96.4 72.4 32.6 51.4 34.6 63.5 112.9 118.6 1099.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.4 12.2 14.1 11.8 11.4 12.6 8.9 7.5 7.2 8.0 11.6 12.0 126.7