Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales
Minor Flood Warning For Tuggerah Lake
Issued at 10:29 AM EST on Wednesday 08 May 2024
Flood Warning Number: 9
MINOR FLOODING PEAKED AT LONG JETTY TUESDAY EVENING AND IS NOW STEADY ABOVE THE MINOR FLOOD LEVEL
Heavy rainfall overnight Sunday into Monday in parts of the Wyong River and Tuggerah Lake has caused minor flooding around Tuggerah Lake.
Lake levels peaked during Tuesday evening and are expected to remain elevated, with prolonged minor flooding.
Tuggerah Lake:
Minor flooding continuing along the Tuggerah Lake.
The Tuggerah Lake at Long Jetty peaked at 1.22 metres around 7:00 pm Tuesday, and is currently at 1.17 metres and steady, with minor flooding.
The Tuggerah Lake at Long Jetty is likely to remain above the minor flood level (0.90 m) for the next few days.
Flood Safety Advice:
In life threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately. If you require rescue, assistance to evacuate or other emergency help, ring NSW SES on 132 500.
* Avoid drowning. Stay out of rising water, seek refuge in the highest available place.
* Prevent damage to your vehicle. Move it under cover, away from areas likely to flood.
* Avoid being swept away. Stay out of fast-flowing creeks and storm drains.
* Never drive, ride or walk through flood water. Flood water can be deceptive and dangerous.}
For more emergency information, advice, and access to the latest river heights and rainfall observations and forecasts:
* NSW SES: www.ses.nsw.gov.au
* RMS Live Traffic: www.livetraffic.com
* Latest River Heights and Rainfall Observations: http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood/greatersydney.shtml
* Latest NSW Warnings: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/
* Rainfall Forecasts: www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/
* BOM NSW Twitter: www.twitter.com/BOM_NSW
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST on Thursday 09 May 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Jilliby Creek at Jilliby,2.59,Falling,10:00 AM WED 08/05/24
Tuggerah Lake at Long Jetty,1.17,Steady,10:00 AM WED 08/05/24
Tuggerah Lake at The Entrance,1.16,Steady,10:00 AM WED 08/05/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts.
Forecast
Holgate (33.4097°S, 151.4054°E, 18m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 21° Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 10-20mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:07am EST 6:32am EST 5:09pm EST 5:34pm EST NOW19.5° Feels Like: 19.2° Relative Humidity: 73% Dew: 14.5° Wind: S 9km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
HolgateNow18.5°cFeels Like:19.9°Wind:S 4km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:87%13°Min21°MaxToday in HolgatePartly cloudy. The chance of morning fog. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 22.Tomorrow13°Min21°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 22.
Forecast for Holgate (33.4097°S, 151.4054°E, 18m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 13° 13° 14° 14° 13° 13° 14° Maximum 21° 21° 20° 19° 20° 22° 23° Chance of rain 90% 70% 70% 70% 50% 70% 60% Likely amount 10-20mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)11
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)10
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)17
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SE SW SE SSW SE ENE ESE SW SW WSW SSW W SSE Relative humidity 82% 79% 86% 78% 83% 82% 87% 85% 88% 77% 81% 72% 78% 69% Dew point 15°C 16°C 14°C 17°C 14°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 14°C 16°C 14°C 17°C 14°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Holgate Rain Forecast
Holgate 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar2024202566776589456105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 1
ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Holgate Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
May 0413.3 °C 19.9 °C 12.2 mmSunday
May 0514.2 °C 19.6 °C -Monday
May 0614.9 °C 20.7 °C 101.2 mmTuesday
May 0710.7 °C 20.9 °C 5.4 mmWednesday
May 0813.4 °C 21.1 °C 4.8 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Holgate minimum temp history (33.4097°S, 151.4054°E, 18m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 20.9° 07/05/2024 Coldest this month 10.7° 07/05/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 40.0° 26/01/2024 Coldest this year 10.7° 07/05/2024 Long term average 20.9° Long term average 10.3° Average this month 19.9° Average this month 13.1° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Holgate rainfall history (33.4097°S, 151.4054°E, 18m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 101.2mm 06/05/2024 Total This Month 190.0mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 59.3mm 11.2 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 11.0mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Holgate Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 684.9mm 67.1 day(s) Total For 2024 725.0mm 62.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 469.6mm 59.0 day(s) Wettest Day 161.6mm Apr 6 Lowest Temperature 10.7°C May 7 Highest Temperature 40.0°C Jan26 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Holgate Climatology
Holgate Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.1 27.3 26.1 23.7 20.9 18.0 18.3 19.3 22.0 24.1 25.0 26.9 23.2 Mean Min (°C) 19.2 18.7 17.5 13.9 10.3 8.5 7.0 7.6 10.0 12.9 15.1 17.4 13.1 Mean Rain (mm) 111.8 159.2 222.0 132.6 59.3 124.9 82.0 76.3 63.1 102.2 91.1 79.8 1341.9 Mean Rain Days 13.3 13.6 15.8 13.2 11.2 13.5 9.5 7.7 9.8 12.0 10.5 12.0 143.1