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Forecast

Harolds Cross (35.5579°S, 149.5835°E, 822m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 14°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:19am EST 6:45am EST 5:27pm EST 5:53pm EST
    NOW
    2.5° Feels Like: 0.0°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 1.8°
    Wind: N 4km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Harolds Cross
    Now
    -1.5°c
    Feels Like:
    -4.5°
    Wind:
    NE 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Late shower
     
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Harolds Cross
    Cloudy. The chance of fog early this morning. High chance of showers in the west, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the northwest, slight chance elsewhere. Areas of morning fog. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. The chance of fog early this morning. High chance of showers in the west, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 15.

    Forecast for Harolds Cross (35.5579°S, 149.5835°E, 822m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Late shower Mostly sunny Late shower Late thunder Late shower Mostly sunny Rain
    Minimum
    Maximum 14° 17° 15° 16° 15° 13° 13°
    Chance of rain 70% 20% 70% 70% 50% 40% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Moderate Nil Moderate Nil Slight Moderate Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NNW WNW WNW NNW N W WSW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW NNW
    Relative humidity 83% 65% 83% 55% 88% 70% 89% 61% 83% 56% 79% 48% 79% 62%
    Dew point 4°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 5°C 4°C 2°C 3°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Harolds Cross Rain Forecast


    Harolds Cross 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 August to 24 August, 29 August to 2 September, and 10 September to 14 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 August to 28 August, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 20 August to 24 August, 29 August to 2 September, and 11 September to 15 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Harolds Cross Rain Forecast


    Harolds Cross 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    10
    6
    4
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Harolds Cross Rain Forecast


    Harolds Cross 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 August to 24 August, 29 August to 2 September, and 10 September to 14 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 August to 28 August, and 7 September to 11 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 20 August to 24 August, 29 August to 2 September, and 11 September to 15 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Harolds Cross Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Aug 07
    -1.2 °C 8.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 08
    5.5 °C 9.9 °C
    23.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 09
    6.5 °C 9.7 °C
    83.8 mm
    Monday
    Aug 10
    5.8 °C 9.5 °C
    31.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 11
    1.1 °C 11.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Harolds Cross minimum temp history (35.5579°S, 149.5835°E, 822m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.4° 03/08/2020 Coldest this month -4.1° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 22.3 25/08/1995 Coldest on record -9.8 15/08/1994
    Hottest this year 42.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -6.0° 05/06/2020
    Long term average 13.4° Long term average 0.6°
    Average this month 11.5° Average this month 1.0°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 15.9° 1995 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -2.5° 1994
    Harolds Cross rainfall history (35.5579°S, 149.5835°E, 822m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 83.8mm 09/08/2020 Total This Month 138.6mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 55.7mm 11.1 days Wettest August on record 212.4mm 1998
    Driest on record 0.8mm 1995
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Harolds Cross Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 438.7mm 96.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 619.0mm 105.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 326.4mm 94.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 83.8mm Aug 9
    Lowest Temperature -6.0°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 42.6°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Harolds Cross Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.9 25.5 22.9 19.4 15.9 12.6 12.0 13.4 16.4 19.2 22.2 24.7 19.2
    Mean Min (°C) 12.2 12.3 10.0 5.8 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.6 3.3 5.6 8.3 10.5 6.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 63.9 70.8 58.4 44.8 42.9 65.0 37.2 55.7 54.4 56.8 76.6 67.9 694.7
    Mean Rain Days 12.0 10.9 12.2 11.5 11.5 13.7 13.2 11.1 11.1 10.9 12.5 10.9 130.0