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Forecast

Gum Scrub (31.3252°S, 152.7606°E, 14m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Showers 17° 25°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:34am EDT 6:58am EDT 6:48pm EDT 7:12pm EDT
    NOW
    20.3° Feels Like: 20.7°
    Relative Humidity: 93%
    Dew: 19.1°
    Wind: E 15km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 6.2mm
    Pressure: 1021.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Gum Scrub
    Now
    19.2°c
    Feels Like:
    21.9°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    92%
    Showers
     
    17°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Gum Scrub
    Partly cloudy. Fog in the south in the early morning. High chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 21 to 26.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    17°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Fog in the early morning. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Gum Scrub

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Fog in the south in the early morning. High chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 21 to 26.

    Forecast for Gum Scrub (31.3252°S, 152.7606°E, 14m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Showers Late shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 17° 17° 18° 17° 18° 18° 18°
    Maximum 25° 27° 27° 26° 26° 28° 28°
    Chance of rain 70% 60% 40% 50% 60% 80% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index High Very High High - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE ENE N ENE SW S SW ESE NNE ENE N NE NNW NE
    Relative humidity 91% 78% 91% 68% 90% 71% 92% 72% 92% 68% 89% 71% 90% 71%
    Dew point 19°C 20°C 18°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gum Scrub Rain Forecast


    Gum Scrub 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 April to 6 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 21 April to 25 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April, 11 April to 15 April, and 17 April to 21 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 April to 6 April, 8 April to 12 April, and 27 April to 1 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gum Scrub Rain Forecast


    Gum Scrub 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    6
    5
    8
    6
    6
    5
    9
    4
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gum Scrub Rain Forecast


    Gum Scrub 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 April to 6 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 21 April to 25 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April, 11 April to 15 April, and 17 April to 21 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 April to 6 April, 8 April to 12 April, and 27 April to 1 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gum Scrub Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Mar 24
    17.6 °C 23.1 °C
    5.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Mar 25
    15.2 °C 27.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 26
    17.9 °C 23.6 °C
    13.0 mm
    Friday
    Mar 27
    16.8 °C 23.6 °C
    18.2 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    14.7 °C 23 °C
    4.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gum Scrub minimum temp history (31.3252°S, 152.7606°E, 14m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.4° 02/03/2020 Coldest this month 13.6° 19/03/2020
    Hottest on record 34.5 09/03/2004 Coldest on record 7.9 31/03/2007
    Hottest this year 36.2° 02/02/2020 Coldest this year 13.6° 19/03/2020
    Long term average 26.4° Long term average 17.0°
    Average this month 25.5° Average this month 17.6°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.7° 2016 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 14.8° 2008
    Gum Scrub rainfall history (31.3252°S, 152.7606°E, 14m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 35.4mm 15/03/2020 Total This Month 192.2mm
    20.0 days
    Long Term Average 177.0mm 15.3 days Wettest March on record 533.6mm 2017
    Driest on record 27.8mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Gum Scrub Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 523.9mm 40.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 705.2mm 51.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 137.8mm 34.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 142.2mm Feb 9
    Lowest Temperature 13.6°C Mar19
    Highest Temperature 36.2°C Feb 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gum Scrub Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.7 27.6 26.4 24.3 21.6 19.5 18.8 20.2 22.6 24.1 25.2 26.7 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.4 17.0 13.9 10.4 8.2 6.6 6.8 9.4 11.9 15.2 16.9 12.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 159.3 187.6 177.0 141.5 115.6 139.3 67.2 71.1 64.7 74.6 157.2 110.1 1468.6
    Mean Rain Days 12.2 13.4 15.3 13.5 13.0 11.4 10.5 8.5 9.3 10.2 13.9 12.5 137.0