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Forecast

Guerilla Bay (35.8264°S, 150.2181°E, 7m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Fog then sunny 19°
    fog then sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:42am EST 7:10am EST 4:54pm EST 5:23pm EST
    NOW
    8.1° Feels Like: 6.0°
    Relative Humidity: 87%
    Dew: 6.1°
    Wind: W 6km/h
    Gust: W 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1035.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Guerilla Bay
    Now
    13.9°c
    Feels Like:
    12.0°
    Wind:
    WNW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    74%
    Fog then sunny
     
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Guerilla Bay
    Patchy morning fog, then sunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 19.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending N/NW in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Guerilla Bay

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Patchy morning fog, then sunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 19.

    Forecast for Guerilla Bay (35.8264°S, 150.2181°E, 7m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Fog then sunny Fog then sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm
    Minimum
    Maximum 19° 20° 22° 18° 18° 19° 17°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 40% 5% 5% 5% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Nil Nil High Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW NE N NE N NNE NW WSW NNW NNE NW N WSW SSW
    Relative humidity 84% 60% 81% 55% 73% 47% 59% 32% 63% 39% 61% 38% 66% 45%
    Dew point 8°C 11°C 8°C 11°C 7°C 10°C 3°C 1°C 1°C 4°C 3°C 4°C 4°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Guerilla Bay Rain Forecast


    Guerilla Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    27
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 July to 5 July, 7 July to 11 July, and 17 July to 21 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 July to 5 July, 19 July to 23 July, and 27 July to 31 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 July to 6 July, 7 July to 11 July, and 11 July to 15 July.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Guerilla Bay Rain Forecast


    Guerilla Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2019
    2020
    6
    7
    6
    5
    6
    5
    7
    9
    9
    6
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral (El Nino Watch) Sea surface temperatures (SST's) showed a slight warming during May, and remain significantly warmer than average across the equatorial Pacific. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.8 and 0.9 through the month of May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.9 in May, dropping back again into El Nino territory. Current consensus suggests an El Nino pattern across the Pacific Ocean will continue through winter and spring, with all eight international models maintaining a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, with a 50-60% chance of an El Nino developing again later this year. The climate outlook for winter and early spring favours an overall below average rainfall outlook across southern Qld, NSW (mainly west of the Great Dividing Range), Vic, northeastern Tas and the southern SA and WA. A Positive IOD is now well established over the Indian Ocean, with five out of six international models exhibiting a moderate-to-strong event lasting until spring. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall amounts towards the second half of winter and first half of spring. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain warmer than average, increasing the risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs), which activity reaches its peak in early winter. These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Guerilla Bay Rain Forecast


    Guerilla Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    27
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 July to 5 July, 7 July to 11 July, and 17 July to 21 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 July to 5 July, 19 July to 23 July, and 27 July to 31 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 July to 6 July, 7 July to 11 July, and 11 July to 15 July.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Guerilla Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jun 22
    2.0 °C 15.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jun 23
    2.2 °C 16 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jun 24
    9.4 °C 16.5 °C
    0.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 25
    6.8 °C 17.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 26
    8.7 °C 18 °C
    0.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Guerilla Bay minimum temp history (35.8264°S, 150.2181°E, 7m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.8° 12/06/2019 Coldest this month -0.7° 21/06/2019
    Hottest on record 25.0 09/06/2004 Coldest on record -3.0 15/06/2000
    Hottest this year 37.2° 31/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.7° 21/06/2019
    Long term average 17.5° Long term average 5.6°
    Average this month 17.6° Average this month 5.0°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.0° 2004 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 3.3° 2000
    Guerilla Bay rainfall history (35.8264°S, 150.2181°E, 7m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 55.6mm 04/06/2019 Total This Month 58.4mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 89.4mm 10.4 days Wettest June on record 317.2mm 2004
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Guerilla Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 448.4mm 62.2 day(s)
    Total For 2019 356.6mm 59.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 399.4mm 55.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 56.8mm Mar18
    Lowest Temperature -0.7°C Jun21
    Highest Temperature 37.2°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Guerilla Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.4 24.8 23.9 22.0 19.7 17.5 17.1 18.2 20.2 21.7 22.5 23.9 21.4
    Mean Min (°C) 15.7 16.2 14.3 11.0 7.1 5.6 4.1 4.3 7.0 9.4 12.2 14.1 10.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 63.3 106.3 84.0 59.7 45.7 89.4 51.3 60.2 43.6 74.7 84.6 70.4 834.5
    Mean Rain Days 10.9 11.7 12.2 9.4 7.6 10.4 8.4 6.8 10.2 10.3 12.6 12.7 114.8