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Forecast

Greenethorpe (33.9973°S, 148.4014°E, 371m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 17°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:58am EST 6:23am EST 5:57pm EST 6:22pm EST
    NOW
    12.3° Feels Like: 8.5°
    Relative Humidity: 75%
    Dew: 8.0°
    Wind: W 17km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.6mm
    Pressure: 1016.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Greenethorpe
    Now
    14.3°c
    Feels Like:
    10.9°
    Wind:
    NW 17km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    74%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Greenethorpe
    Partly cloudy. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 22.

    Forecast for Greenethorpe (33.9973°S, 148.4014°E, 371m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Late shower Fog then sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Late shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10°
    Maximum 17° 18° 19° 21° 23° 22° 20°
    Chance of rain 30% 60% 5% 20% 20% 60% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW WNW W WSW ESE WNW E ESE ESE ENE N WNW WSW WSW
    Relative humidity 69% 51% 80% 58% 69% 53% 71% 53% 70% 51% 73% 58% 67% 46%
    Dew point 5°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 8°C 11°C 9°C 12°C 10°C 13°C 9°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Greenethorpe Rain Forecast


    Greenethorpe 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 April to 14 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 April to 20 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 April to 15 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Greenethorpe Rain Forecast


    Greenethorpe 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    10
    6
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Greenethorpe Rain Forecast


    Greenethorpe 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 April to 14 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 April to 20 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 April to 15 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Greenethorpe Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    12.8 °C 24.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    8.0 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    15.0 °C 21.2 °C
    9.8 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    16.2 °C 21.8 °C
    11.8 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    13.0 °C -
    18.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Greenethorpe minimum temp history (33.9973°S, 148.4014°E, 371m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.0° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 8.0° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 35.3 04/04/1986 Coldest on record 0.0 30/04/1976
    Hottest this year 44.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 7.4° 28/02/2020
    Long term average 23.0° Long term average 9.7°
    Average this month 23.3° Average this month 13.0°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.5° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 7.3° 2011
    Greenethorpe rainfall history (33.9973°S, 148.4014°E, 371m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 18.0mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 39.6mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 45.5mm 5.4 days Wettest April on record 344.4mm 1990
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1897
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Greenethorpe Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 189.9mm 20.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 166.0mm 23.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 144.6mm 24.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 21.0mm Feb11
    Lowest Temperature 7.4°C Feb28
    Highest Temperature 44.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Greenethorpe Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.0 31.1 27.8 23.0 18.0 14.3 13.2 15.0 18.3 22.6 26.5 29.8 22.6
    Mean Min (°C) 16.7 16.7 13.8 9.7 6.6 4.4 3.3 4.2 6.2 9.1 12.0 14.5 9.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 50.4 47.0 47.0 45.5 48.7 57.7 55.5 54.6 50.1 54.5 49.6 54.2 614.5
    Mean Rain Days 5.4 4.7 5.0 5.4 7.1 9.6 10.5 9.6 8.0 7.6 6.2 5.5 83.2