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Forecast

Grafton (29.6912°S, 152.9333°E, 14m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 20° 25°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:40am EDT 6:06am EDT 7:52pm EDT 8:18pm EDT
    NOW
    21.4° Feels Like: 22.0°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 20.4°
    Wind: S 17km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Grafton
    Now
    21.7°c
    Feels Like:
     
    Wind:
    S 26km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
     
    Showers
     
    20°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Grafton
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds S/SE 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    19°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds S/SE 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Grafton (29.6912°S, 152.9333°E, 14m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 20° 19° 18° 17° 17° 18° 19°
    Maximum 25° 26° 26° 27° 28° 31° 31°
    Chance of rain 80% 70% 70% 40% 50% 50% 70%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW S S SSE S SSE SSW SSE SW SE W E SE E
    Relative humidity 87% 81% 78% 66% 83% 68% 75% 59% 74% 60% 76% 55% 78% 62%
    Dew point 21°C 20°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 20°C 21°C 21°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Grafton Rain Forecast


    Grafton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 February to 5 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 11 February to 15 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 January to 20 January, and 9 February to 13 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 12 February to 16 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Grafton Rain Forecast


    Grafton 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2022
    8
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    7
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 12

    ENSO status: La Niña. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive, it is forecast to be mostly positive during the remainder of January. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is firmly in a La Niña phase. Both the atmosphere and the ocean are now showing established La Niña pattern. La Niña is likely to continue during February, while most models suggest it should return to neutral phase by March. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall to much of Australia, particularly the north and east. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, while a negative phase caused above average rainfall last winter and early spring. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of Australia this summer, particularly the north and the east. Heavy rainfall events are also more likely during La Niña years, due the abundant moisture it feeds into Australia.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Past 5 Days

    Grafton Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 15
    18.6 °C 31.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 16
    19.6 °C 31.3 °C
    0.8 mm
    Monday
    Jan 17
    21.5 °C 31.6 °C
    1.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 18
    23.0 °C 31.1 °C
    1.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 19
    21.5 °C 29.7 °C
    0.8 mm
    Legend
  13. Long range rainfall forecast

    Grafton Rain Forecast


    Grafton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 February to 5 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 11 February to 15 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 January to 20 January, and 9 February to 13 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 12 February to 16 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Grafton minimum temp history (29.6912°S, 152.9333°E, 14m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.6° 17/01/2022 Coldest this month 17.2° 14/01/2022
    Hottest on record 44.6 07/01/2004 Coldest on record 13.4 20/01/2010
    Hottest this year 31.6° 17/01/2022 Coldest this year 17.2° 14/01/2022
    Long term average 30.6° Long term average 19.8°
    Average this month 29.2° Average this month 20.4°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.0° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 18.4° 2003
    Grafton rainfall history (29.6912°S, 152.9333°E, 14m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 5.7mm 07/01/2022 Total This Month 19.0mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 152.7mm 12.1 days Wettest January on record 308.4mm 2012
    Driest on record 7.0mm 2019
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Grafton Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 152.7mm 12.1 day(s)
    Total For 2022 19.0mm 13.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2021 100.4mm 14.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 5.7mm Jan 7
    Lowest Temperature 17.2°C Jan14
    Highest Temperature 31.6°C Jan17
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Grafton Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.6 30.0 28.2 25.8 23.2 20.7 20.8 22.7 25.5 27.2 29.0 29.8 26.0
    Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.6 18.1 14.9 11.0 9.0 7.5 7.9 11.2 14.0 16.5 18.4 13.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 152.7 120.4 121.9 84.3 73.7 75.1 40.0 39.0 37.8 68.8 85.6 112.8 1001.7
    Mean Rain Days 12.1 11.9 14.5 10.2 10.0 9.9 7.6 6.1 6.4 8.5 9.1 12.1 119.2