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Forecast

Grafton (29.6912°S, 152.9333°E, 14m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 10° 25°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:45am EST 6:09am EST 5:26pm EST 5:50pm EST
    NOW
    21.6° Feels Like: 22.3°
    Relative Humidity: 64%
    Dew: 14.5°
    Wind: SE 4km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Grafton
    Now
    20.9°c
    Feels Like:
    &nbsp;
    Wind:
    S 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    &nbsp;
    Sunny
     
    10°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Grafton
    Mostly sunny. Patchy fog inland early this morning. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    11°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Sunny. The chance of fog inland in the early morning. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Grafton

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Patchy fog inland early this morning. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Grafton (29.6912°S, 152.9333°E, 14m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10° 11° 10° 10° 12°
    Maximum 25° 27° 27° 25° 24° 24° 23°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 30% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW ENE NW NNE WNW W W N W E WSW ESE SW SE
    Relative humidity 76% 48% 74% 41% 63% 29% 64% 36% 60% 35% 66% 40% 75% 52%
    Dew point 13°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 11°C 7°C 11°C 8°C 10°C 7°C 12°C 9°C 14°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Grafton Rain Forecast


    Grafton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    May 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 May to 5 May, 6 May to 10 May, and 16 May to 20 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 May to 6 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 May to 10 May, 16 May to 20 May, and 20 May to 24 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Grafton Rain Forecast


    Grafton 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    2021
    2022
    9
    8
    7
    8
    6
    7
    7
    7
    5
    7
    7
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Apr 14

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, potentially trending negative during winter. SAM status: Positive. La Niña has concluded, with neutral conditions expected until at least the end of Autumn. A few models are predicting La Niña conditions to return later this year, while the majority of models predict neutral conditions. While La Niña has returned to neutral, the oceans around northern Australia are warmer than normal. This is expected to generate above normal rainfall for much of Australia during the next month or so. Some models are suggesting a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) may develop during winter, which would increase rainfall across parts of Australia during winter. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northern coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC, most of TAS and southwest WA are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to bewetter than normal, apart from far southwestern WA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The negative IOD may be playing a part in this, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across Australia's snowfields. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Grafton Rain Forecast


    Grafton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    May 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 May to 5 May, 6 May to 10 May, and 16 May to 20 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 May to 6 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 May to 10 May, 16 May to 20 May, and 20 May to 24 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Grafton Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Apr 15
    11.3 °C 28.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Apr 16
    14.1 °C 25.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 17
    15.0 °C 22.6 °C
    2.6 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 18
    11.6 °C 22.9 °C
    12.8 mm
    Monday
    Apr 19
    11.4 °C 21.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Grafton minimum temp history (29.6912°S, 152.9333°E, 14m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.1° 10/04/2021 Coldest this month 8.7° 13/04/2021
    Hottest on record 33.7 04/04/2006 Coldest on record 5.0 30/04/2008
    Hottest this year 34.1° 05/01/2021 Coldest this year 8.7° 13/04/2021
    Long term average 25.9° Long term average 15.0°
    Average this month 25.4° Average this month 14.5°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.9° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 13.3° 2008
    Grafton rainfall history (29.6912°S, 152.9333°E, 14m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 39.0mm 06/04/2021 Total This Month 92.0mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 84.0mm 10.2 days Wettest April on record 257.0mm 1923
    Driest on record 8.8mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Grafton Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 471.9mm 48.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 687.8mm 60.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 820.4mm 57.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 76.0mm Mar23
    Lowest Temperature 8.7°C Apr13
    Highest Temperature 34.1°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Grafton Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.6 30.0 28.2 25.9 23.3 20.7 20.8 22.7 25.6 27.3 29.1 29.8 26.1
    Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.6 18.1 15.0 10.9 9.0 7.5 7.9 11.2 14.0 16.5 18.4 13.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 152.7 120.4 121.5 84.0 72.7 76.4 39.8 39.5 38.7 66.9 82.2 113.1 990.5
    Mean Rain Days 12.1 11.9 14.4 10.2 9.9 9.9 7.4 6.0 6.3 8.2 8.9 11.7 117.6