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Forecast

Gerroa (34.7702°S, 150.8156°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 19° 24°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:45am EDT 7:10am EDT 6:50pm EDT 7:15pm EDT
    NOW
    21.5° Feels Like: 22.0°
    Relative Humidity: 79%
    Dew: 17.7°
    Wind: N 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Gerroa
    Now
    21.8°c
    Feels Like:
    23.7°
    Wind:
    N 7km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    19°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Gerroa
    Cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Very high chance of rain and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 km/h before tending N/NW 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 24.
    Tomorrow
    Rain
    18°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NW during the morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 25.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Very high chance of rain and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 km/h before tending N/NW 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 24.

    Forecast for Gerroa (34.7702°S, 150.8156°E, 0m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Rain Thunderstorms clearing Sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 19° 18° 19° 13° 14° 14° 14°
    Maximum 24° 24° 25° 22° 21° 20° 21°
    Chance of rain 80% 60% 10% 10% 20% 40% 60%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NNE NW NNE NW WNW WNW WNW W SSW SW S SW SSE
    Relative humidity 100% 86% 89% 73% 81% 42% 50% 40% 55% 50% 60% 54% 64% 58%
    Dew point 20°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 10°C 7°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 13°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gerroa Rain Forecast


    Gerroa 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    May 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 April to 26 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 3 May to 7 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 April to 23 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 April to 26 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 3 May to 7 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gerroa Rain Forecast


    Gerroa 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    4
    9
    3
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gerroa Rain Forecast


    Gerroa 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    May 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 April to 26 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 3 May to 7 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 April to 23 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 April to 26 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 3 May to 7 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gerroa Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    17.8 °C 23.6 °C
    11.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 30
    19.4 °C 25.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    20.3 °C 23.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    20.3 °C 24 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    19 °C -
    5.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gerroa minimum temp history (34.7702°S, 150.8156°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.0° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 19.0° 02/04/2020
    Hottest on record 31.2 16/04/2015 Coldest on record 9.0 29/04/2008
    Hottest this year 41.4° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 12.5° 15/03/2020
    Long term average 22.0° Long term average 15.5°
    Average this month 24.0° Average this month 19.6°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.4° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 13.9° 2008
    Gerroa rainfall history (34.7702°S, 150.8156°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 5.0mm 02/04/2020 Total This Month 5.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 104.1mm 12.6 days Wettest April on record 247.6mm 2015
    Driest on record 32.6mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Gerroa Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 497.7mm 51.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 339.6mm 54.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 290.0mm 39.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 110.0mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 12.5°C Mar15
    Highest Temperature 41.4°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gerroa Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.1 24.5 23.8 22.0 19.8 17.7 17.0 18.0 20.2 21.6 22.7 23.6 21.4
    Mean Min (°C) 18.9 18.8 17.8 15.5 13.1 11.4 10.0 10.6 12.2 13.8 15.9 17.2 14.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 87.3 158.6 147.7 104.1 45.5 116.2 74.7 77.0 58.6 81.8 70.0 89.1 1120.7
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 13.9 13.8 12.6 6.3 11.4 9.8 8.0 9.7 11.6 10.9 12.2 99.0