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Forecast

Fernvale (28.3703°S, 153.4363°E, 78m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Clearing shower 15° 22°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:13am EST 6:39am EST 5:00pm EST 5:26pm EST
    NOW
    15.4° Feels Like: 13.9°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 15.2°
    Wind: S 17km/h
    Gust: S 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 6.6mm
    Pressure: 1030.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Fernvale
    Now
    16.1°c
    Feels Like:
    10.6°
    Wind:
    ESE 37km/h
    Gusts:
    44km/h
    Humidity:
    95%
    Clearing shower
     
    15°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Fernvale
    Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Medium chance of showers. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    15°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Fernvale

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Medium chance of showers. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22.

    Forecast for Fernvale (28.3703°S, 153.4363°E, 78m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Clearing shower Possible shower Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 15° 15° 13° 13° 13° 13° 12°
    Maximum 22° 23° 23° 21° 22° 22° 22°
    Chance of rain 50% 60% 30% 30% 40% 70% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW SE S SE WSW ESE SSW S SW S SSW S SSW S
    Relative humidity 83% 67% 83% 78% 84% 66% 82% 75% 81% 73% 80% 74% 80% 74%
    Dew point 16°C 15°C 17°C 18°C 15°C 16°C 14°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 17°C 14°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Fernvale Rain Forecast


    Fernvale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 July to 10 July, 25 July to 29 July, and 29 July to 2 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 July to 10 July, and 17 July to 21 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 July to 11 July, 18 July to 22 July, and 26 July to 30 July.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Fernvale Rain Forecast


    Fernvale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2019
    2020
    5
    6
    6
    4
    6
    5
    7
    10
    7
    6
    2
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral (El Nino Watch) Sea surface temperatures (SST's) showed a slight warming during May, and remain significantly warmer than average across the equatorial Pacific. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.8 and 0.9 through the month of May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.9 in May, dropping back again into El Nino territory. Current consensus suggests an El Nino pattern across the Pacific Ocean will continue through winter and spring, with all eight international models maintaining a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, with a 50-60% chance of an El Nino developing again later this year. The climate outlook for winter and early spring favours an overall below average rainfall outlook across southern Qld, NSW (mainly west of the Great Dividing Range), Vic, northeastern Tas and the southern SA and WA. A Positive IOD is now well established over the Indian Ocean, with five out of six international models exhibiting a moderate-to-strong event lasting until spring. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall amounts towards the second half of winter and first half of spring. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain warmer than average, increasing the risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs), which activity reaches its peak in early winter. These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Fernvale Rain Forecast


    Fernvale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 July to 10 July, 25 July to 29 July, and 29 July to 2 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 July to 10 July, and 17 July to 21 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 July to 11 July, 18 July to 22 July, and 26 July to 30 July.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Fernvale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jun 23
    8.8 °C 18.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jun 24
    - 14 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 25
    8.2 °C 17.4 °C
    16.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 26
    - 18.6 °C
    57.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 27
    - -
    9.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Fernvale minimum temp history (28.3703°S, 153.4363°E, 78m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.4° 10/06/2019 Coldest this month 2.6° 03/06/2019
    Hottest on record 27.8 09/06/2016 Coldest on record -0.3 25/06/1981
    Hottest this year 36.5° 13/02/2019 Coldest this year 2.6° 03/06/2019
    Long term average 21.2° Long term average 9.9°
    Average this month 19.9° Average this month 7.6°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.2° 1991 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 6.3° 1982
    Fernvale rainfall history (28.3703°S, 153.4363°E, 78m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 57.0mm 26/06/2019 Total This Month 84.2mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 105.5mm 11.0 days Wettest June on record 435.7mm 1991
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Fernvale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 1049.0mm 85.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 510.1mm 61.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 553.0mm 64.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 57.0mm Jun26
    Lowest Temperature 2.6°C Jun 3
    Highest Temperature 36.5°C Feb13
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Fernvale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 29.0 28.1 26.1 23.5 21.2 21.0 22.4 25.0 26.5 27.7 29.1 25.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 19.6 18.3 15.6 12.6 9.9 8.5 8.8 11.5 14.1 16.7 18.5 14.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 211.4 220.6 224.5 154.4 132.6 105.5 61.8 55.4 41.4 104.1 124.7 168.9 1611.2
    Mean Rain Days 15.0 15.9 17.0 14.2 12.6 11.0 8.7 7.8 8.0 10.4 12.8 13.6 143.0